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Stealing Pots on 9 high flops

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  1. #1
    KY_Ace's Avatar
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    May 2005
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    Default Stealing Pots on 9 high flops

    When the flop is 9 high, 63% of the time an overcard to the top pair on the flop will fall on the turn or river. I applied this concept in the folloiwng example:

    $10 NL

    Hand Actions
    Stackin Chips dealer
    glavon SB $ 0.05
    Jawz AJd
    kingtut24 Call $ 0.10
    canuhandle Fold
    Jawz Raise $ 0.40
    Bigapp Call $ 0.40
    Stackin Chips Call $ 0.40
    glavon Fold
    phatchillin Call $ 0.30
    kingtut24 Call $ 0.30
    pot = $2.05

    FLOP: 4 9 3
    phatchillin Bet $ 0.10
    kingtut24 Fold $ 0.00
    Jawz Raise $ 1.85
    Bigapp Fold
    Stackin Chips Fold
    pot = $5.75

    TURN: 6
    phatchillin Check
    Jawz Bet $ 1.50
    phatchillin Call $ 1.50
    pot = $8.75

    RIVER: 10
    phatchillin Check
    Jawz All-in $ 5.05
    phatchillin Fold
    pot = $8.69

    Jawz Mucks Cards
    Jawz Wins $ 8.69

    When my opponent called the flop on this flop I knew he had a pair of nines and punished him for betting such a weak hand on the flop. My point here is that on a nine high flop the aggressor will usually win unless their opponent makes 2 pair or better. If the turn and river card were both lower than ten I would have checked and gave up onthe hand, but this is rarely the case.
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  2. #2
    Lukie's Avatar
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    Jul 2005
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    I usually just check/fold this flop with so many players involved. Do you put your stack on the line with ace-high post-flop often? This really looks like chip spewing to me, but if you really thought this guy was going to fold, hats off to ya...
  3. #3
    If I thought my nine was good on the flop and called the turn, I would never fold that river.

    I could only see it if you were check-calling.

    I think villian folded a missed draw.

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