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Strange 98o hand

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  1. #1
    johnny_fish's Avatar
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    Default Strange 98o hand

    Should I immediately semibluff the flop to fold the PFR?

    ** Game ID 738394113 starting - 2006-03-29 09:13:31

    ** Can`t Make Me Run [Hold 'em] (1.00|2.00 No Limit - Cash Game) Real Money

    - acesesup sitting in seat 1 with $69.50
    - Jana57 sitting in seat 2 with $195.00
    - TNSANTA sitting in seat 3 with $157.20
    - kallia sitting in seat 4 with $349.95
    - easymeat sitting in seat 5 with $215.73
    - RedGunner sitting in seat 6 with $330.00
    - Kaniniz sitting in seat 7 with $200.00
    - Rejvar sitting in seat 8 with $97.60
    - johnny291281 sitting in seat 9 with $219.50
    - jishii sitting in seat 10 with $199.65 [Dealer]

    acesesup posted the small blind - $1.00
    Jana57 posted the big blind - $2.00

    ** Dealing card to johnny291281: 8 of Diamonds, 9 of Clubs

    TNSANTA folded
    kallia called - $2.00
    easymeat called - $2.00
    RedGunner called - $2.00
    Kaniniz folded
    Rejvar called - $2.00
    johnny291281 called - $2.00
    jishii raised - $14.00
    acesesup folded
    Jana57 folded
    kallia called - $14.00
    easymeat called - $14.00
    RedGunner called - $14.00
    Rejvar called - $14.00
    johnny291281 called - $14.00

    ** Dealing the flop: 8 of Clubs, 7 of Diamonds, 6 of Hearts

    kallia checked
    easymeat bet - $16.00
    RedGunner folded
    Rejvar called - $16.00
    johnny291281 called - $16.00
    jishii went all-in - $185.65
    kallia folded
    easymeat folded
    Rejvar went all-in - $67.60
    johnny291281 called - $185.65
  2. #2
    I think this is mostly an EV calculation, but my default play is to raise/push the flop. There's so much dead money that you would gladly take it down right there. I also fold this preflop. But the numbers might make your line better...
  3. #3
    Pretty balsy call there preflop. They're connectors but not even suited. Assuming no-one else hit their straight, you'll be facing PP in the worst case scenario. So you got nice odds to beat those. 8 outs on the straight, 2 outs for a set, 3 outs for two pair. I think with TP and a double-barreled straight draw, you should push hard, possibly even all-in on the flop.

    With 2 all-ins, you still got good odds there to call here I guess. Assuming an overpair, and that a straight, set or 2 pair will take it home, you got 48.1% to hit. That's a cointoss, but considering your share into the pot, worth it. Mathematically. There's ofcourse still that 51.9% that you'll be out that $185.

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