|
To me, that's kind of a strange play for hero. In middle position and three limpers, I'd expect a raise with a good hand like TT-AA, AK, but then there's a min raise and now hero 3 bets it 16x to go. The stack to pot ratio is about 2.3. Until I see more action, I'd put hero on at least TT-AA, AK, which would make sense for the re-raise, and the SPR that's been created, but not so much the initial limp. Maybe hero has some suited connectors, pocket pairs, or Axs since the table showed weakness and has been playing tight, it's a good situation to chase out some dead money and go heads up with a weaker player OOP (the one who called) and/or the min raiser who is also OOP or possibly get everyone to fold and win a small pot right there. However, most of those hands don't play well in a pot this big, so to pull this off, hero really has to feel good about outplaying an aggressive villain on the flop.
As for UTG, you said he's "young" and "dumb" and has been playing "aggressively" to his "detriment" so far. If he's been aggressive, on all streets, it's probably safe to eliminate TT-AA and AK and more likely to put him on hands like Ax, two Broadway cards, suited connectors, or smaller pocket pairs.
I think ranges pre-flop are pretty broad even with good reads and even more broad with less reads. We need more reads and street action to narrow it down further, but it's a start.
|