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Triple barrel bluff...profitable in this scenario at $25 NL?

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  1. #1

    Default Triple barrel bluff...profitable in this scenario at $25 NL?

    Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
    I figured he's either floating a pair on me or he's chasing the flush.
    Is this just stupid?
    Not a play I employ too often but will make from time to time.

    Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

    BB ($12)
    UTG ($12.25)
    Hero ($25)
    MP1 ($59.65)
    MP2 ($71.38)
    MP3 ($9.05)
    CO ($18.55)
    Button ($41.85)
    SB ($23.60)

    Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with K, A. SB posts a blind of $0.10.
    UTG calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.25, 5 folds, SB (poster) calls $1.15, 1 fold, UTG folds.

    Flop: ($3) 7, 3, 7 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $2, SB calls $2.

    Turn: ($7) 4 (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $4, SB calls $4.

    River: ($15) Q (2 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $10, SB ...
  2. #2
    samsonite2100's Avatar
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    Your loosing, lolololololololololol
    Triple barrel bluff...profitable at $25 NL?
    No.
  3. #3
    gabe's Avatar
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    its always profitable in the right situations, but i doubt a 62/18 is the right person to do it to
  4. #4
    I think that is a decent river to do it on. No draws landed. What will he call with here? Is he the kinda villian that can't get away from his A3?
  5. #5
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    Depends on opponent obv. Don't usually try triple bluffing someone unless I have seen someone do it in the past. In general I would not make this play against an unknown opponenet. At least you have a thought process behind it though.

    Lets try not to make horrible generalizations like the title of this post.

    Quote Originally Posted by lolwtfamidoing
    Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
  6. #6
    samsonite2100's Avatar
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    Your loosing, lolololololololololol
    Lets try not to make horrible generalizations like the title of this post.
    I don't think it's a horrible generalization to say that absent a read, three-barrel bluffs are not a great idea at low stakes.
    lolwtfamidoing wrote:
    Only 16 hands on Villain so not enough for a read though at that he's 62/18 (can't be reliable).
    Hahahahaha
  7. #7
    My apologies for the overgeneralization on the title - just hacked somethin in real quick before I bailed outta the office.

    This was a questionable one...I doubt I'm ahead of much but Ax/Kx -- but the river seemed to be a pretty good scare card...if you are villain at $25 NL are you calling here with 88/99/66, having not lead out on the flop, etc.?
    I felt like the answer was no a good percentage of the time.
    And if he was on a spade draw minus a Q (which is doubtful) then he's definitely folding here.

    Results:

    SB folds.

    Final pot: $25.00

    Just thought this was an interesting one in that it's a pretty damn rare for a bankroll baby like me to pull this outside of a low-dollar SNG :0
    Worked out this go - and so far the 3-4 times I've balsed it up and gone for it like this lately, it's worked out. We're talking 3-4 times in 5k-8k hands though - so I definitely don't overuse it.
  8. #8
    Muxy's Avatar
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    Double Barrel at Party 25nl owns.
  9. #9
    lolzzz_321's Avatar
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    props to op for thinking and utilizing this sparingly.

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