Trying to pick off a busted draw

Villian is 49/5. Like it?


Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (10 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($381.04)
MP3 ($167.08)
CO ($63.82)
Button ($46.69)
SB ($176.50)
BB ($100)
Hero ($195.60)
UTG+1 ($152)
UTG+2 ($104.40)
MP1 ($45.91)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9, 9. SB posts a blind of $0.50.
Hero raises to $4, UTG+1 calls $4, 8 folds.

Flop: ($9.50) 2, 6, 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, UTG+1 calls $7.

Turn: ($23.50) 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $15, UTG+1 calls $15.

River: ($53.50) J (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $24.81, Hero calls $24.81.

Final Pot: $103.12

49/5 and very fishy?

Wouldn't a donk check behind here if they missed more often than not?

You only have to be correct 1/3 times however. I do think a check/call on the river is the best line, possibily a blocking bet, but a check gives an opportunity for this kind of bluff. Only problem with a check here is if he pushes or bets anymore than 1/2 pot you have a real decision here.

He may be superbly loose, but what kind of hands will this guy cold-call a 4xBB raise in early position with? Unless this guy is a total donk, the only hand we're beating here is KQs/AKs. I suspect that he's slowplaying something big after his calls of your big flop and turn bets.

I wouldn't be surprised to see a set or some wierd 2 pair here.

45 is really loose

I dunno, you're risking a lot of money to pick off a busted draw. If that's what he had, vnh, but I think I'm folding to this river bet.

Got a post-flop read?

What range does he call the flop + turn with?

If he's loose post-flop too I like it.

I'm new to NL, is it standard to raise 99 4x BB from EP there?

What hand range do you generally raise from EP?

Originally Posted by nogenius

I'm new to NL, is it standard to raise 99 4x BB from EP there?

What hand range do you generally raise from EP?

I raise 4x with any pp in any position generally.

Originally Posted by Fnord

Got a post-flop read?

What range does he call the flop + turn with?

If he's loose post-flop too I like it.

Not really, but I should have mentioned that he insta-called the flop and turn bets, which often signifies a draw.

Originally Posted by Rockymv

Not really, but I should have mentioned that he insta-called the flop and turn bets, which often signifies a draw.

*shrug* well it's something. I'm more interested if he's a folder or chaser type post-flop. Is he the kinda guy that's giving insta-profit by being loose pre-flop and weak/tight post-flop or is he going to pay off way too much?

i love it when people pot rivers.