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TT turned str8, deepish vs. nit

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  1. #1

    Default TT turned str8, deepish vs. nit

    Villain is 16/5.5/3.8 over a shit-ton of hands. I put him squarely on QQ+ after the flop mr. He knows I'm laggro and has prob seen me spew at least a couple of times. On this table about an orbit ago, I bullied him out of a 65BB pot by 3-betting a drawy flop over his minraise and making a big turn bet when a str8 card hit. So, similar situation to this one, very recently, I bet turn, he folded.

    Best line for value here with almost 100BB behind?

    Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $1/$2 - 9 players - Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $213.40
    UTG+1: $281.40
    MP1: $270.90
    MP2: $270.15
    MP3: $111
    CO: $189
    Button: $100
    SB: $148
    Hero: $301.65

    Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is BB with T T
    2 folds, MP1 raises to $10, MP2 folds, MP3 calls, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero calls.

    Flop: 8 9 7 ($40, 4 players)
    SB checks, Hero bets $32, MP1 raises to $64, 2 folds, Hero calls.

    Turn: 6 ($168, 2 players)
    Hero...
  2. #2
    bode's Avatar
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    if you bullied him out of a similar situation earlier i would lead the turn here. He is pretty aggro, so he will most likely bet but w/ that much money behind i want to lead and hope he c/r's.
    eeevees are not monies yet...they are like baby monies.
  3. #3
    I think he has to bet with anything he's calling a bet with, so I kind of like a c/r bomb on the turn. If for some super nitty reason he checks behind for pot control, you can just shove the river, it's not that much of an overbet.

    Call m/r then lead straighty turn looks like, well, a straight. But then so does a c/r...

    There are basically 2 bets remaining. We either want a bet/raise or check/bet/raise on turn or just bet turn bet river. Third is slightly worse because it's reasonable that he has a set and the board could pair.

    You could even probe bet turn for like 50, that leaves 2/3 pot or so on the river (assuming he raises). That's probably the worst if he has a set, since he has odds to suck out.

    It probably doesn't matter much. Villain is going to either decide you have a straight or not, and act accordingly. Maybe the best is to play it to set up future bluffs (your choice of c/r, small bet, value bet, a/i)

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