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 Originally Posted by mcatdog
It's close but no. I don't think villain is bluffing very often at all but I think he's likely to bet 99 for value, maybe even 77. Stars 1/2 is weird, most of the regs go for retardedly thin value on the river all the time but they don't bluff anywhere near enough to compensate, thus making their thin value bets terrible vs. anyone with a clue. We're getting the right odds vs. a range of QQ-88,44 so I'd call expecting to lose most of the time.
This was exactly what I was looking for, thank you. I didn't include 44 in my range and I agree he doesn't raise JJ-QQ here all the time preflop (and probably correct to do so). Against 88-QQ we have just enough equity to call by like 1%. I guess if he ever shows up with a flush draw or 77 then its def a bad fold.
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