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Two pair with flush scare - call or raise?

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  1. #1

    Default Two pair with flush scare - call or raise?

    UTG had stats of about 40/5/4 over 40 hands. I'd seen him play his OK hands (< two pair) aggressively, but had no idea how he would play such hands against my reraise, or how he played a draw.

    The turn play looks like a draw, but the river bet looks like a bad blocking bet rather than a weak bet from a flush to encourage a reraise, although it still could be because I played the previous two streets aggressively. Call or raise?

    Full Tilt Poker
    No Limit Holdem Ring game
    Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
    9 players
    Converter

    Stack sizes:
    UTG: $27.90
    UTG+1: $3.75
    MP1: $33.05
    Hero: $36.45
    MP3: $11.55
    CO: $22.75
    Button: $9.40
    SB: $36.25
    BB: $27.35

    Pre-flop: (9 players) Hero is MP2 with K 9
    UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero calls, MP3 folds, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, BB checks.

    Flop: 7 9 K ($1.25, 5 players)
    SB checks, BB checks, UTG bets $1, Hero raises to $3, 3 folds, UTG calls.

    Turn: 3 ($7.25, 2 players)
    UTG bets $0.25, Hero raises to $5, UTG calls.

    River: 6 ($17.25, 2 players)
    UTG bets $2, Hero ?
  2. #2
    Call
  3. #3
    I think that I would just call. UTG has a wide range of hands that they start with. So you have to put 2 hearts in that range, or maybe T8, 86. If you raise here, you may be put all in and you have an even harder decision to make.

    I think that there is to much danger here to risk a healthy portion of your stack on. ...

    Had to make the decision without how many of villains hands have gone to SD, and the % of these they have won.
  4. #4
    Miffed22001's Avatar
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    call becasue you cant stand being raised.
  5. #5
    Unless I had a strong read that he donk-bets-calls with top pair weak kicker or something I'm pretty much always just grunting and calling the river...he's not gonna call a big raise there anyway and you sure don't want to be reraised.

    Also - that tard bet, call big raise line is often a draw. He could even have T8o here and thus the slightly larger-sized donk into you on the river - since we can't really solidly put him on that by the river, there's little point in trying to push him off it, which probably would fail anyway.
  6. #6
    Raise the flop and turn a little more. Call river.
  7. #7
    You think he triple donked a flush draw? What minbets the turn
  8. #8
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    Fold preflop. As played easy call.
    BBQSquirrel's poker blog

    100NL adventures -- both FR and 6max

    http://bbqsquirrel.blogspot.com
  9. #9
    My preflop call here was reads based. I didn't have much c-bet fold equity at this table, but I did have good implied odds, and it was unlikely anyone would raise preflop.

    I called and beat his drawless Kx bollocks.

    For some reason there was a plethora of really bad players last night.

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