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 Originally Posted by strawman
Originally Posted by martindcx1e
it's def. -EV for villain no matter
what because if he has a small pair it will cost him too much in the long run to make up for the times he stacks me and since he is incapable of folding a high overpair on this kind of flop he loses his stack every time.
1) How -EV do you believe this play to be for villian and what would it take to bring it closer to 0.
2) You keep insisting that villian can't lay this down and you stack him every time he doesn't hit a set. What is this based on? You can repeat this scenario but you aren't always going to repeat the cast of characters.
You seemed to have missed a key point to my argument. You line says "AA" so your opponent knows what he's facing but you don't know what you are so there is a correct play for your opponent on the flop and most of them are folding. I'd be willing to take a slightly -EV preflop situation if I knew what my opponents hole cards were.
1. i don't really know the exact -EV-ness for villain here.
2. i don't know with 100% certainty that he will call. however i honestly can't really see many unknown 25NL players folding here with KK/QQ. just so everyone knows villain called w/ KK and said "i knew i was probably up vs. AA but you got to gamble."
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