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I like the play up until the river, which IMO is a real grey area. It needs to be successful a high % of the time (over 50%), which means you're hoping that A. he's not a donk, B. he's not a good player who might suss out your bluff, *and* C. he's not sitting on K9 himself, which is improbable but not impossible. I don't like to make these kinds of moves on players I don't know are thinking, tight players - and they have to be at least some of both. Without a read I am inclined to just drop it.
Now a few comments for SuperDave:
 Originally Posted by SuperDave9x19
your raise on flop is interesting (read as I think it's stupid) since you got nuthing but a gutshot draw. Perhaps you are trying to make it heads up (and you succeeded) but I must ask... heads up with what? The only thing that I think makes "sense"  was that you are trying to intimidate the remaining guy.
That's the point he's making. Heads up, with position, against someone you are pretty sure is on a draw is ALWAYS a desirable position to be in - regardless of your hole cards. You are fixated on hero's hole cards which isn't the point at all here. It's well beside the point, in fact. He knows going in that he has at best something like seven clean outs.
Here comes the turn. You check. So, considerring the only thing that I saw as "sensible" was intimidation, you dropped the ball. Essentially at this point neither knows what the other has and the betting makes it difficult to judge.
Hero has already stated he put the other guy on a flush draw based on the flop and his min-raise, which means on the turn he puts him on a made flush. Bluffing in that spot is asinine. The ball dropped itself. Hero could have AK or K9 and would still check behind on the turn.
Then comes the river. No help. At All. And you seemed weak on turn. Let's assume that he was also scared by the club and had a pair > deuces (a fair assumption). U were beat if that were the case. Your opponent was NOT dumb to call.
That's a bad analysis. First of all, the 9 on the river is no help to what YOU see in the hero's hand, but to an opponent who may put hero on a 9 (e.g. K9) this is a clear scare card. He may still call because he's a donk or call because he smells something rotten in Denmark, but your analysis that the card was "no help at all" is non-insightful; it's helpful in that it may have helped the hand he's repping, and probably didn't help his opponent, who weak-bets the river with what is almost certainly a made flush.
Second, if you are putting opponent possibly on a pair > deuces (which we know he didn't have, but I'll play along), your analysis is *still* bad. He's ahead of the hero's missed draw, but he doesn't know that's what he has. Against a king, a nine, a three, or any higher pocket pair, he would still be behind. I would venture to say that a call with any pocket pair here except for kings/threes/nines, and maybe aces, would be terrible; and a call with a made flush (what he actually called with) is borderline - based on the hand history, and if we didn't know what the hero held.
A footnote - without a read, as the hero, I would not raise on the river. But without a read, as the villain, I would also fold the river. I think both players made marginal mistakes on the last street, assuming the information we have here (that the players didn't know each other at all) was correct.
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When keepin it real goes wrong (brilliant, Triptanes)
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