50nl hand, too weak after a show of strength?

------HAND 5------
Game #1220521323: Hold'em NL ($0.25/$0.50) - 2005/11/02 - 23:18:26 (ET)
Table "Pantomime" Seat 9 is the button.
Seat 1: firewire ($54.15 in chips)
Seat 2: ExMatt sits out
Seat 3: blaidan ($40.88 in chips)
Seat 4: FATBOB ($49.23 in chips)
Seat 5: New_Delhi ($6.42 in chips)
Seat 6: Tobe2000 ($61.85 in chips)
Seat 7: cwabface ($109.90 in chips)
Seat 8: scntaxpro ($20 in chips)
Seat 9: daisee4 ($49.80 in chips)
Seat 10: BushBoss ($24.50 in chips)
BushBoss: posts small blind $0.25
firewire: posts big blind $0.50
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to firewire [7d 7s]
blaidan: calls $0.50
FATBOB: folds
New_Delhi: folds
Tobe2000: calls $0.50
cwabface: raises to $2.25
scntaxpro: folds
daisee4: folds
BushBoss: folds
firewire: calls $1.75
blaidan: folds
Tobe2000: folds
----- FLOP ----- [6c Qd 5d]
firewire: checks
cwabface: bets $2
firewire: raises to $6
cwabface: raises to $10
firewire: folds
Returned uncalled bets $4 to cwabface
cwabface: doesn't show hand
cwabface collected $16.90 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot $17.75 Main pot $16.90 Rake $0.85
Board [6c Qd 5d]
Seat 1: firewire (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 3: blaidan folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: FATBOB folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: New_Delhi folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Tobe2000 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: cwabface collected $16.90
Seat 8: scntaxpro folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: daisee4 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: BushBoss (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Depends on reads. Your raise is fine if opp cbets a lot.

he bet less than he did pf on the flop, i somewhat felt obligated to raise him with any 2 here. is this line of thinking flawed?

You're betting 6$ to win ~7$. It should work more than 45% to be +EV. I'm not sure it is. Weak betting after agression pf is mostly done by passive calling stations or by smart players who are looking for a induced bluff. Either way, you're not going to get a fold.

make the raise fold to the reraise

I like it. I think you take this pot down quite a bit in 25NL. Villian feels obligated to bet, but has nothing so he underbets the pot. I am more likely to see this at 25NL than a smart opponent inducing a bluff.
I like this play specifically with that flop. He re-raised showing you his overpair. KK or AA. You dropped the hand like you should.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by johnny_fish

You're betting 6$ to win ~7$. It should work more than 45% to be +EV. I'm not sure it is. Weak betting after agression pf is mostly done by passive calling stations or by smart players who are looking for a induced bluff. Either way, you're not going to get a fold.

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i make this play all the time, and it probably works 75%. played perfectly.