UB 5.50, drawing at 15 outs twice...
Here's a hand from my latest debacle. I had 15 outs as I saw it, although the possibility exists that BB could have higher diamond flush draw or UTG could be betting top pair with a higher flush draw. Nonetheless, I'm getting ~2:1 after the flop and better than 3:1 after the turn. I had already lost a with a set to a higher set, so I was hurting for chips. I felt like this was an opportunity to get back in it before the blinds got too big. It just didn't work out for me. Should I have just dumped this to the flop bet? BTW, I know a lot of you will say I should have dropped it preflop, but with a hand like this, I felt like paying half price to see a flop (got the flop I was looking for) was an acceptable play.
Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t20 (8 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx
BB (t1410)
UTG (t1355)
UTG+1 (t1600)
MP1 (t2405)
MP2 (t1395)
CO (t2115)
Button (t4020)
Hero (t700)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8:diamond:, J:diamond:.
UTG calls t20, 4 folds, Button calls t20, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: (t80) T:club:, 6:diamond:, 9:diamond: (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets t90, Button folds, Hero calls t90, BB calls t90.
Turn: (t350) 4:spade: (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets t150, Hero calls t150, BB folds.
River: (t650) A:club: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets t650, Hero folds.
Final Pot: t1300
Re: UB 5.50, drawing at 15 outs twice...
Quote:
Originally Posted by A10Chief
BB (t1410)
UTG (t1355)
UTG+1 (t1600)
MP1 (t2405)
MP2 (t1395)
CO (t2115)
Button (t4020)
Hero (t700)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 8:diamond:, J:diamond:.
UTG calls t20, 4 folds, Button calls t20, Hero completes, BB checks.
Flop: (t80) T:club:, 6:diamond:, 9:diamond: (4 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets t90, Button folds, Hero calls t90, BB calls t90.
Turn: (t350) 4:spade: (3 players)
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG bets t150, Hero calls t150, BB folds.
River: (t650) A:club: (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets t650, Hero folds.
Final Pot: t1300
Preflop: good call
Flop: Ok, here's the critical point. Your hand is tremendously strong right now. In fact, assuming no one is drawing to a higher flush, you have 50% pot equity. And, if you're only up against a pair of tens, you likely have tremendous pot equity here, like 60%. But the real negative is that after UTG bets, there's only a small amount in the pot and our position sucks. If we had position, a raise to 250 here is the best move.
Another consideration here is stack sizes here really suck. So 170 chips in the pot are actually pretty precious. You should know that pushing right here isn't a bad move. And considering how shoddy your position is, your stack size, and turning into a calling station might be just bleeding chips, this might be your best move.
Anyhow, the play I like the most with these situations is trying to find a way to jam all your chips in on the flop.
Re: UB 5.50, drawing at 15 outs twice...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Scuba Chuck
Anyhow, the play I like the most with these situations is trying to find a way to jam all your chips in on the flop.