Am I beat?

Only a few hands on this guy, no read really.

***** Hand History for Game 3834659382 *****
$50 NL Texas Hold'em - Monday, March 27, 20:01:30 ET 2006
Table Beginners March GiveAway #1210204 (Real Money)
Seat 3 is the button
Total number of players : 10
Seat 1: foxhoundzr2 ( $63.15 )
Seat 2: Irisska ( $63.10 )
Seat 3: AnFom ( $98.48 )
Seat 4: poker_wizkid ( $102.49 )
Seat 5: Unglaubliche_Inge ( $11.30 )
Seat 6: chocolateface ( $87.65 )
Seat 7: klout ( $36.50 )
Seat 9: waynerfo ( $41.80 )
Seat 8: MissedMe ( $50 )
Seat 10: Orcman2222 ( $50 )
poker_wizkid posts small blind [$0.25].
Unglaubliche_Inge posts big blind [$0.50].
** Dealing down cards **
Dealt to MissedMe [ Ks Kc ]
chocolateface folds.
klout folds.
MissedMe raises [$2].
waynerfo calls [$2].
foxhoundzr2 folds.
Irisska folds.
AnFom folds.
poker_wizkid folds.
Unglaubliche_Inge folds.
** Dealing Flop ** [ 3s, 8c, Qd ]
MissedMe bets [$3.50].
waynerfo raises [$8].
MissedMe calls [$4.50].
** Dealing Turn ** [ 7d ]
MissedMe checks.
waynerfo bets [$19.46].
MissedMe raises [$38.92].
waynerfo is all-In [$12.34]
** Dealing River ** [ Jc ]

Anything wrong here? Is this standard or is this a laydown?

Looks like an exercise in set-spotting. You're probably beat but unless you're folding to the turn bet I can't see not going broke here.

looks like AQ to me

A set very likely slowplays that board headsup, so KQ/AQ are the most likely hands. You are vulnerable to one of those so 3 betting the flop is not terrible, though you can certainly risk the 3 outer and keep him in it thinking you missed AK or have JJ/TT.
He's too aggressive on the turn for it to be a set I think.

If we put our opponent on a tight range:

28,710 games 0.047 secs 610,851 games/sec

Board: Qd 8c 3s
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 57.8614 % 56.14% 01.72% { QQ+, 88, 33, AQs, KQs, AQo }
Hand 2: 42.1386 % 40.41% 01.72% { KcKs }

I agree he is too aggresive on the turn to have a set... It was only a 2 dollar raise I can see him hitting 2pair, or AQ thats realistically what i put him on, the turn bet really just throws me off... eeep i guess im no help lol hmm 2 pair? or AQ is my best bet

Before I read this thread, just from the title I thought to myself:
"Yes, usually, but you have odds to call anyway."

I stick by that answer.

I would personally call this down yes. Really doesn't feel like a way to play a set.. I was thinking maybe two pair, but not likely given the board and the preflop raise.. so yeah, I'd take this up. Seems like he really wants you to fold, and overpair really is a great way to destack people in my experience :)

Btw how did it end?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jackvance

Btw how did it end?

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Does it matter?

Whether he won or lost this hand, should that change how he plays similar hands in the future?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Demiparadigm

Does it matter?

Whether he won or lost this hand, should that change how he plays similar hands in the future?

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I want to see if I can confirm my rousing suspicion that he lost here (because if he won he wouldn't have posted it).