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AA against a semi maniac
I had been playing surprisingly solid poker, villain is borderline maniac and likes to splash around. wtf do I do here?? or on turn for that matter.
Hand #250498002 at table: Table TH 1191
Started: Thu Mar 30 22:35:01 2006
PingZen is at seat 1 with 707.75
Villain is at seat 2 with 661.60
rapa9991 is at seat 3 with 107.40
FindNemo is at seat 4 with 196.05
SLIDEREN is at seat 5 with 1176.06
FindNemo posts the large blind 6.00
Villain posts the small blind 3.00
Villain: --, --
FindNemo: --, --
SLIDEREN: --, --
PingZen: AsAd
Pre-flop:
SLIDEREN: Call 6.00
PingZen: Raise 24.00
Villain: Call 24.00
FindNemo: Fold
SLIDEREN: Fold
Flop (Board: 2s, 5s, 9s):
Villain: Check
PingZen: Bet 54.00
Villain: Call 54.00
Turn (Board: 2s, 5s, 9s, 9c):
Villain: Check
PingZen: Bet 102.00
Villain: Raise 204.00 (minraise)
PingZen: Call 204.00
River (Board: 2s, 5s, 9s, 9c, 4d):
Villain: All in
PingZen: ?
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Flop looks good, you have 7 outs to the nuts if he has a flush.
Turn might have counterfieted your spades if he has 22/55/99, but you still have 2 outs to beat a smaller boat. Also, he could still have the flush here, in which case you have 11 outs.... I seriously suspect that you are behind here... but he COULD have KK or QQ.... I doubt it though. I think a set or 9 has to raise that flop, and even if he idiot slowplayed vs the monotone flop, I think he has to more than min/raise you on the turn.
Conclusion: He has the flush... you have odds to call... villian has 400 behind, you cover him. Call.
River. I think fold. The odds of him having KK or stone cold bluff are too low.
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^ works for me. Raising turn is crazy and it's a pretty big leap to just give him a boat and fold. Unless the turn min raises is out of character with his mania.
Of course, maniac could probably play any over pair this way since he knows you know he's a maniac. I think you're getting a little less than 2/1 on river, seems like you have to be beat more than that.
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This was from villains perspective. I had KsQx, he probably QQ-AA, most likely with a spade given the way he played the hand.