-
KQs stealing opportunity
I dont have the HH but this was from a Dise $2 rebuy (900+ entrants). The majority of players are very very loose, limping with crap you see people limp at 10/20 blinds.
Blinds : 600/1200
Me : 13000
Hand : BB with KhQh
UTG limps, MP limps, MP1 limps (1.5BB stack), CO limps, SB completes, Me ???
The pot was actually 12000 when it got to me, which means if I push and get folds I double up. If I get called I'm probably ~45% At this point ~250 players were still left, 90 are paid. I would say theres a 60% chance I'll get called
-
This is a great spot for a push. Even if called you aren'y going to be a huge dog.. assuming you dont have reads UTG limps big hands. I puuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuuush.
-
OK, but 60% chance you get called by WHAT?
Called by pocket pairs = 47% equity
Called by Ace-rag = 40% equity
Called by undercards/suited junk/K-high = 67% equity
You could check and see a flop. Go with any kinda pair or draw. If you catch (~35-40%) you are likely to triple up.
Another way to think about it:
EV = 0.4 x 12000 + (0.6*.45) * 24000 - (0.6*.55) * -12000
= 4800 + 6480 - 4280 = ~+6500 by pushing.
I doubt you will get more EV by stop-and-going, but it's probably close.
-
cant put an exact range but it is WIDE
A8+ 55+ JK+ are all possibilities
-
and if you get one caller and win, pretty much triple up.... may be worth the risk here.