Dangerous bluff 600 NL FR party

Villain is 37.1/20.0/2.67 with a WTSD% of 13% over 70 hands.
He has been raising a ton recently and just bullying everybody around.
I figured there was a good chance he had a marginal hand when he check-raised me, and floated around with a gut shot. I decided to rep the king or some decent made hand on the river trying to get value from a weaker hand on the river. Good bet or spew?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

saw flop|saw showdown

SB ($588.25)
BB ($597.68)
UTG ($697.14)
UTG+1 ($470.80)
MP1 ($594)
MP2 ($183)
MP3 ($1270.75)
Hero ($681.30)
Button ($578.65)

Preflop: Hero is CO with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif. SB posts a blind of $3.
5 folds, Hero raises to $18, 1 fold, SB (poster) calls $15, 1 fold.

Flop: ($42) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $30, SB raises to $75, Hero calls $45.

Turn: ($192) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks.

River: ($192) Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $150???

dangerous? LOL

Quote:

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Originally Posted by ilikeaces86

dangerous? LOL

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How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spino1i

Quote:

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Originally Posted by ilikeaces86

dangerous? LOL

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How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..

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Ok I just found it funny sorry. Ill go back to sleep now.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by spino1i

Quote:

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Originally Posted by ilikeaces86

dangerous? LOL

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How many times do you try to bluff someone who check-raised you? Id call that pretty dangerous..

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all the time when they check-raise and give up with a weak marginal hand that they don't want to call down with so instead they play it badly.

personally I like the flop call and would make it 100% of the time with that gutshot. depending on my image and my opponents ability to call down, I would then bet the turn, or bet the river like you did.

a dangerous bluff would be like a 3-barrel or check-raising someone all in on the turn with a weak draw

Betting the turn is probably better.

Playing this on the turn is best IMO ~

Mostly because like someone mentioned in the above posts, C/R this flop in most cases represents a marginal hand not willing to call every street to see a SD, so I figure he's evaluating his hand here. Now what's his range from the blinds you didn't mention but elaborate here on what marginal hands he'd be CRing with.

AQ-KQ-QT-KT ?

In most cases the river K scares me away, probably made 2 pair am I right?

~ Jay G

Quote:

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Originally Posted by w32e1

Playing this on the turn is best IMO ~

Mostly because like someone mentioned in the above posts, C/R this flop in most cases represents a marginal hand not willing to call every street to see a SD, so I figure he's evaluating his hand here. Now what's his range from the blinds you didn't mention but elaborate here on what marginal hands he'd be CRing with.

AQ-KQ-QT-KT ?

In most cases the river K scares me away, probably made 2 pair am I right?

~ Jay G

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No, he folded. :)