Originally Posted by natdang
I think floating is likely here also - I can almost guarantee that if hero checks the turn, villain will bet. What then? We have no more information.
I think villain often bets out with A7-AT, sensing that you've gotten off the gas. As does middle PP, trip 7's, or even KQ. I don't see why we give villain credit for a hand and check the turn, just because he didn't autofold to a c-bet. Oftentimes, people won't fold to your c-bet. I don't usually give up control of the hand immediately.
I think the turn bet is for value (weaker A might call), and for information/blocking as well. Dude with KQ or weak A will fold here, but pot is big as is, and what makes you think you'll get any more out of them on the river? Why give a free card and a chance to spike the kicker? If the weak A won't call a bet on the turn, why would they call one on the river unless they improve?