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Fold AA
I think this was a good fold... but then again, I just bumped to $25NL at FullTilt and am still a little skittish about the $... I only had 20 hands on villain, and he ran 11.1/11.1 for that sample. Not sure how valuable that is... Anyhoo, I put him two pair KJ or a set when he RR pushed. Okay fold?
Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
8 players
Converter
Stack sizes:
Hero: $23.55
UTG+1: $59.15
MP1: $37.30
MP2: $11.05
CO: $19
Button: $24.55
SB: $13.20
BB: $29.55
Pre-flop: (8 players) Hero is UTG with A :spade: A :heart:
Hero raises to $1, 6 folds, BB calls.
Flop: 3 :club: K :spade: J :diamond: ($2.1, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $2.1, BB calls.
Turn: 6 :spade: ($6.3, 2 players)
BB bets $2.5, Hero raises to $6, BB raises all-in $26.45, Hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $20.45 returned to BB.
Results:
Final pot: $18.3
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Do you really think a set plays the hand this fast? The only hand in his range that beats you IMO is KJ. I see people doing this with draws and TP often enough to warrant a call.
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4x RR, when I've shown solid agression on all streets... yeah, I could see it as being a set. Esp if he wants to lock it up before the river drops another spade.
Right or wrong, here's my thought process...
He's only played 10% of his hands so far and he chooses to call me OOP in the blind. Checks and then calls a PSB on the Flop... probes out w/ a less than 1/2 psb on the Turn and then pushes over my (albeit a little light...) raise.
Based on his VPIP, I figure 22+, Axs or broadway hand. I figure KK is out as would have RR me PF. AK unlikely as I have AA. I can't see any underpair taking the line he did w/ a K on the board unless he setted. The only other option I could see was two pair... and KJ is in his range.
I considered it could be a total bluff, but do I really want to risk about 60BB on that?
Dunno... maybe I just overthunk it..... wouldn't be the first time. :shock:
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i think its pretty close to being a call. You are getting pretty good pot odds and his line is suspect. I don't think i'd fault u either way, this is a decent fold.
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Very well played hand.
I think you are ahead very occasionally but behind almost always. You are playing a classic AK/KK line - and villain is still happy to get their stack in. To me that means that they are ahead of KK, means they are also ahead of AA (they re-raise AA pre).
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Probably a good fold. However, sometimes you're giving it up to something like T9ss.