$100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

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10-22-2007, 10:14 AM
spoonitnow

$100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

BB ($38)
Hero ($156.50)
UTG+1 ($100)
MP1 ($49)
MP2 ($164.50)
MP3 ($167.85)
CO ($100)
Button ($180.80)
SB ($93.50)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif. CO posts a blind of $1.
Hero raises to $5, 7 folds, BB raises to $38, Hero ...

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK so I figure a call is good here since I have no stats on villain. Thoughts?
10-22-2007, 10:40 AM
Deanglow

Fistpump insta call
10-22-2007, 10:45 AM
Warpe

AYCEB
10-22-2007, 10:52 AM
spoonitnow

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warpe

AYCEB

=?
10-22-2007, 10:54 AM
Warpe

AWWWW YOU CAN EAT, BABEEEEEE
10-22-2007, 10:56 AM
spoonitnow

Quote:

Originally Posted by Warpe

AWWWW YOU CAN EAT, BABEEEEEE

lol nice
10-22-2007, 11:13 AM
ChrisTheFish

Yeah, i can't fold this. I have a habit of running into AK in this spot at least 265% of the time.
10-22-2007, 03:18 PM
djzcko

Call...this is some Ax or sooted crap enough from short stacks to make it +EV.
10-22-2007, 04:11 PM
Miffed22001

i like to come on keyboard, fastwank, then call.
10-23-2007, 12:09 AM
Fnord

Post this hand with Tens next time to make it interesting.
10-23-2007, 01:26 AM
Setzy

It's a call because he is unknown. He could be on tilt, overvalues medium pairs, etc.

For what it's worth, (and what I know or don't know about villain), unknowns I probably would call with TT.
10-23-2007, 07:08 AM
ChrisTheFish

Yeah, i'd call 1010+ and AK.
10-23-2007, 09:37 AM
Chopper

CALL.

yeah, it is QQ+/AK a lot here. but, its also complete trash a lot, too. with a 40bb stack you have to put him on a much wider range than QQ+/AK.

i put him on 88+,AJs+,AQo+,KJs+,KQo+ and a whole mix of other broadways....and i CRUSH this range.

shortys do very stupid things. most dont know how to short stack, they are just buying in to "shove all-in" w/o risking a lot of chips.

CALL.
10-29-2007, 02:55 AM
BankItDrew

Re: $100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

Quote:

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks
10-29-2007, 09:29 AM
spoonitnow

Re: $100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

Quote:

Originally Posted by BankItDrew

Quote:

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks

The % of time you need to win to break even is a pot odds thing. I'm calling $33 in a pot of $44.5 so the % is 33/(33+44.5) = 0.425 which I rounded to 43%. At the table it's easier to think of it as (amount to call)/(total pot after you call) which I think of here as about 33/77 which I know is 40-45% from quick estimation (it helps that I know 3/7ths is 0.428571 but that's because I'm a math nerd).

You can get QQ being 40% vs QQ+,AK from Poker Stove, but it's one of the kind of common ones I've come to "just know".
10-29-2007, 09:35 AM
pokerfan

Re: $100nl QQ vs 40bb push pf

pot odds is around 3:4 and our pot equity vs QQ+, AK is 40%. Anyways, going gamboll against unknown shorty should be a good thing.

297,940,896 games 0.005 secs 59,588,179,200 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.207% 38.35% 01.86% 114253440 5540034.00 { QQ }
Hand 1: 59.793% 57.93% 01.86% 172607388 5540034.00 { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

Quote:

Originally Posted by BankItDrew

Quote:

Originally Posted by spoonitnow

I need to win 43% of the time to break even, and QQ is 40% vs QQ+,AK

can you please post how you came up with these calculations? thanks
10-29-2007, 09:54 AM
Miffed22001

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fnord

Post this hand with Tens next time to make it interesting.

TT is an ezzzzz fold, JJ would be much tougher because then QQ+ AQ+ are all in opps range.