10/20 - flopped trips top kicker - passive line

Villain is 19/14/3.9 over ~900 hands, mostly mined. He doubled up recently with KK all-in pre vs. AK. BB is a fish. Obviously I'm looking to balance value from worse queens with value from underpairs and bluffs... thoughts?

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Holdem Ring game - Blinds: $10/$20 - 6 players - Converter

Stack sizes:
Hero: $2241
UTG+1: $5035.25
CO: $2000
Button: $1103.90
SB: $2240
BB: $1250.55

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is UTG with Q :club: A :club:
Hero raises to $60, UTG+1 calls, 3 folds, BB calls.

Flop: 7 :diamond: Q :spade: Q :heart: ($190, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $140, BB folds, Hero calls.

Turn: 4 :heart: ($470, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $340, Hero calls.

River: 5 :diamond: ($1150, 2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $775, Hero raises to $1700

you should bet betting this flop with air a good amount imo

I really don't like this - betting the flop puts air in your range and he will look you up lighter - a competent opponent will not put any more money in the pot without a really strong hand as he knows you aren't c/c the flop with air and there are no draws out there - the only thing I think you may accomplish by C/C rather than betting is if he has seen you make big laydowns and he thinking you have AA/KK/JJ.

In the event he has got QK/QJ then betting is a lot better as I would expect a raise on flop/turn and not sure if the river C/R is getting called by worse - He knows you would probably C/C AA/KK/similar strength hand so when you C/R the river he must know that you have at least QK here.

Btw what do you put him on here that he is betting 3 streets with? certainly not two pair as he must know you are not C/C 2 barrels with worse (I'm assuming if he has 2 pair it is 1010 and below)

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Toadstool

Btw what do you put him on here that he is betting 3 streets with?

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A queen or a bluff. I agree that he's not betting the river with an underpair. Because this guy's AF was so high (as were frequencies by street) I thought I'd maximize my value from bluffs at the risk of losing value from worse queens. But in retrospect I don't think that's optimal.

if i were villian i would fold KQ here

just bet the flop, people dont fold pocket pairs there

bet/bet/bet looks good

I like this.. gotta let bluffy players bluff sometimes when you have a hand to call em with.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jackvance

I like this.. gotta let bluffy players bluff sometimes when you have a hand to call em with.

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rethink this