$200nl - Another Aces Hand
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (8 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)
SB ($410.15)
BB ($27)
UTG ($226.55)
UTG+1 ($273.50)
MP1 ($74)
Hero ($200)
CO ($35.75)
Button ($215.75)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif.
3 folds, Hero raises to $8, 2 folds, SB calls $7, 1 fold.
Flop: ($18) Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $16, SB raises to $48, Hero ...
First orbit, no stats and I don't know how he got his stack.
Here's my though process at the table: I figure sets, JT, KK/QQ and draws are his most likely hands. There's 12 combinations of KK/QQ that I'm way ahead of, 9 combinations of sets that I'm way behind, and 9 combinations of JT that I'm something like 3:1 or 4:1 against. I figure against those hands that I'm about a coin-flip and that he's calling a push with all of them, but I have to weight KK/QQ a little less since he would likely 3-bet with these hands preflop. However, with consideration for 16 possible combinations of KQ plus the occasional two spades (which are less likely because I hold the A:s: and the T:s: is on the board, though I don't think it matters much here), and I think that this is a clear push since calling and getting it in on the turn doesn't seem to have any added benefit, but it could let draws catch on me.
Thoughts?
