good spot to shove river?

Villain is quite a nit at 16/5. After he bets the turn I pretty much know I'm beat, but figured I'd take a stab it at it when the flush hit. Chances are he has something like AQ/AJ with no club.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

CO ($12.25)
Button ($10.65)
Hero ($12.10)
BB ($10.10)
UTG ($20.35)
MP ($9.95)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif.
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.4, BB calls $0.30.

Flop: ($0.80) Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $0.6, BB raises to $1.2, Hero calls $0.60.

Turn: ($3.20) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $1.2, Hero raises to $3.5, BB calls $2.30.

River: ($10.20) Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
[color=#CC3333]Hero bets $7 (All-In)

wouldn't you think he's more likely to have the club when he calls the turn CR?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by mike4066

wouldn't you think he's more likely to have the club when he calls the turn CR?

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not necessarily. And if he does, he would most likely only call a river shove with the J or the T of clubs. Which means he's gonna be folding top pair/two pair quite often.

If he's a nit I just muck to flop minraise - I think his flop minraise is a huge hand a big % of the time.. and in my personal experience I've found that once a nit becomes the aggressor they never fold.

I don't like any street as played.

At 10nl, is it really worth trying to make someone fold?