Big Hand Deep in position, 3 bet pot vs reg

Villain is a reg. We have plenty of history but most of it is coolers and me grinding him away. I have never been caught in a crazy bluff vs him since I think he’s pretty much never out of line vs me in big pots.

He’s kind of nitty (20/13ish over big sample size) but smart. He knows I’ll defend his 3 bets light in position since I think his range is so tight. I recently showed down 89o in a 3 bet pot where I stacked his set 175bb’s deep on TJQ board.

He has a big pair here 100% of the time, I think…. Until the turn.

Also, he has flatted Ak pre vs me a few times before but always in position.

Eff stacks are 388$

Table "Dresden" Seat 2 is the button.
Seat 1: WSOP08 ($417.60 in chips)
Seat 2: HERO ($604.15 in chips)
Seat 4: BMWCoupe ($388 in chips)
Seat 5: kick_nutz ($213.50 in chips)
Seat 6: dazzler5 ($187.12 in chips)
BMWCoupe: posts small blind $1
kick_nutz: posts big blind $2
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to HERO :ad: :qd:
dazzler5: raises to $8
WSOP08: folds
HERO: calls $8
BMWCoupe: raises to $34
kick_nutz: folds
dazzler5: folds
HERO: calls $26


----- FLOP ----- :7d: :4s: :kd:

BMWCoupe: bets $55
HERO: (decision #1) calls $55


----- TURN ----- :7d: :2s: :kd: :ks:

BMWCoupe: bets $150
HERO : (decision #2) … wonders if raising is an option?

I would probably 3 bet preflop, but that entirely changes the dynamics of the hand.

As played I like raising flop and betting turn better.

I think a minraise would be really funny here but then again it's not my money

if he doesnt have KQ in his range? and folds everything besides AK then raising might be kinda sick here. i probably dont have the balls to do it though.

I like how you played it, now fold.

bump cuz this turn spot got my head spinning more than any hand I've played in a pretty long time

I can't see him 2 barreling here only to fold. This is not a good double spot and I would expect a good reg to know that. I expect him to call light if you raise the turn.

Seems like a fold because there isn't enough money left, which makes villain committed with AA/Kx and maybe QQ, and makes you not have enough implied odds to call.

i dont get his turn bet sizing so id probably minraise all in. I'd expect to have the best hand a lot.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

i dont get his turn bet sizing so id probably minraise all in. I'd expect to have the best hand a lot.

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Please elaborate?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

i dont get his turn bet sizing so id probably minraise all in. I'd expect to have the best hand a lot.

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I was thinking this was good but I don't like stacks too much.