A6s vs tricky sTAgg, I turn my hand into a bluff

Opponent in this hand is thecooler992

My read is that he's a thinking, tricky, difficult sTAgg. He could be playing a fair hand of hands here with pretty good post-flop potencial.

I'm running a 15% PFR these days.

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
PokerStars
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($47.05)
UTG+1 ($195.70)
Hero ($191.00)
BTN ($225.20)
SB ($314.50)
BB ($343.95)

Pre-flop: ($3, 6 players) Hero is CO :ac: :6c:
2 folds, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BB calls $4

Flop: :7d: :5d: :8h: ($13, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: :js: ($13, 2 players)
BB bets $8, Hero calls $8

River: :6d: ($29, 2 players)
BB bets $22, Hero raises to $66

He'll have trouble folding because he's unlikely to put you on a flush because you would surely be betting flop with that draw as pfr in pos 90% of the time & I dont think most players call the turn with a gutshot or value raise the river with a straight when the flush hits hence I think your range is heavily weighted towards a bluff in this spot.

i dont like it, he snaps you off wid the 9 high str8 and obv a flush and i very much doubt hes betting 2 pair/set on this river. Thus he either has you crushed and is calling your river raise or has air and your hand is good anyway.Id start with betting flop then simply folding the river as played as you really dont have that much money invested and the only hand he potentialy folds that bets the river is a hand with a 4 in it or air.

I like it. I don't think that not betting IP after being the PFR means you aren't on a draw. In fact I'd say checking behind reinforces the potential for hero to be on one. That being said, I do cbet this flop most of the time, but as played, nh. Also, do you think the river should be exactly 3x? Not like 70 or something?

i dont like it very much. i doubt he gives you credit for a flush ever, and i doubt for a 9 very much either, because of the turn call.

Weird hand. Tough to put you on a flush (no cbet) or straight (gutshot and thin value). I think you might fold a few better hands but not many.

If he is the type to go for razor thin value then this is good.

well. I think he has 10 J

Quote:

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Originally Posted by celtic123

well. I think he has 10 J

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That would be a very odd river bet for JT unless it's diamonds.

i would fold river

I think this is decent versus someone who can fold, sounds like this guy. I think this is a decent spot to overbet though.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by noble007

He'll have trouble folding because he's unlikely to put you on a flush because you would surely be betting flop with that draw as pfr in pos 90% of the time . . . hence I think your range is heavily weighted towards a bluff in this spot.

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I guess if your image is nitty he might drop his hand. But if you're playing the way we all think you play, then you're getting looked up a lot vs a thinking, capable hand reader.