400 NL Boat vs Nit

Opponent is TagFishy, 14/6 over 600 hands; I think I'm like 20/15 this sample and the guy on my left is a donk.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $4 BB (9 handed) Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

Hero ($400)
MP2 ($348)
MP3 ($124.40)
CO ($414.10)
Button ($505.50)
SB ($727.85)
BB ($400)
UTG ($662.80)
UTG+1 ($86)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif.
UTG raises to $12, 1 fold, Hero calls $12, 1 fold, MP3 calls $12, 4 folds.

Flop: ($42) 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks, MP3 checks.

Turn: ($42) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (3 players)
UTG bets $20, Hero calls $20, MP3 folds.

River: ($82) Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $56, UTG raises to $220, Hero...

Raises/calls/folds?

I may or may not have played bad on all 3 streets so comments welcome.

JJ/TT/Frush

I'd call.

i'd raise and build the pot on the turn. Given his line, its more than likely that his TT just got there but i dont have the habit to fold my FH. Also, its such terrible donkey play on his part IMO.

is it bad that I want to bet this flop? also consider that if his river range is TT/JJ and flushes it's actually a fold. AKs and AQs are the only 2 flushies I'd expect villain to be raising and there are 6 combos of FHs and it's 164 to win 358.

actually I'm not even sure villains going to be raising AQs UTG which makes me want to fold even more. Christ I'm a nit.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by badgers

actually I'm not even sure villains going to be raising AQs UTG which makes me want to fold even more. Christ I'm a nit.

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A 14/6 is unlikely to be opening more in LP, so we probably don't need a positionally adjusted opening range from EP. I think AQs, and even AJs or KQs is within villain's opening range from EP.

an ATS would confirm that, but 14/6's generally are not adjusting their opening ranges much for position.

Yeah, flop bet is often free monies. If he doesn't fold it does a lot to define his hand.