Quote:
Originally Posted by Da GOAT
on the JJ hand i think we could find a fold after he raises you on flop.
when we lead we prefer opp to become passive and call us down. we bet bet bet depending on how texture evolves.
so when he raises its sets/ big draws/2pair/overpair. imo he wud call with weak draws like non nut ones. i dont think theres enough air in his range here to get it in on this flop bcoz its very wet board.
i think we can lead/fold here. also i think leading is fine since opp's wont be c/b'ing this board unless they hit/protecting. overall its a tough hand to play. im interested tho to hear arguements for leading and checking since checking gives us more info on opp's hand. if we check then we c/c flop and tend to be calling another street or leading river so it does suck. leading may well be best tho hard to quantify.
Against a very very good opponent i could see how folding the flop might be correct. In reality however MP will sometimes give up on bluffs on the turn or check his drawing hands behind and basically won't play perfectly. Also i disagree that he couldn't raise a hand like KTcc when i lead the flop, which was the biggest reason why i didn't fold.
btw i wud expect him to raise up KTcc here too, when i said non nut hands i really meant all others non nuts but K high ones. i dont get the turn action though, i dont likey.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Da GOAT
btw why no 3bet preflop?
Against a 15/13 i'd flat TT in this spot so i'd imagine flatting JJ can't be that bad. I didn't have enough hands on MP to know roughly what his opening range would be, how he plays in 3bet pots, 4bet frequency etc., so i decided to play it in such a way that i would be well ahead of his range almost regardless of how he was playing.
I can think of two good reasons not to 3bet unknowns with a hand like JJ. Since i won't have a good idea of how they play postflop, hands in the middle of my range (like JJ OOP in a 3bet pot) are going to be difficult to play after the flop. Also, if i showdown a hand like JJ/AK after just calling preflop, my opponent will likely come to an inaccurate conclusion about my 3bet ranges -- potentially very valuable misinformation!
completely std flat pre here then, had to ask since i had no reads ;)