200NL: seta jacks vs shorty maniac on turrrrrrrible board

v 70/30 over 30.

Anyone think I'm ahead enough here to justify a river call?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $2 BB (9 handed) Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: FlopTurnRiver)

MP2 ($223.40)
MP3 ($45.65)
CO ($89.25)
Button ($209.35)
SB ($133.70)
BB ($98.85)
UTG ($266.45)
Hero ($225.90)
MP1 ($200)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif.
1 fold, Hero raises to $8, 3 folds, CO calls $8, 3 folds.

Flop: ($19) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $14, CO calls $14.

Turn: ($47) Thttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $14, Hero calls $14.

River: ($75) 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $53.25 (All-In), Hero ...

Easy call

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Fnord

Easy call

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I agree with Fnord on this one.

Yeah it didn't take me long to call.

I've been making a bunch of bad calls lately so...yeah...coolers still fuck with my mind etc... blah blah ignore me.

THREAD FIN

ummm i don't think this is an easy call and would probably fold river

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Deanglow

ummm i don't think this is an easy call and would probably fold river

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I suspected we'd have a dissenting voice. Perhaps my thread termination request was a little hasty?

We're getting decent odds and there's lots of 2pr/top pair hands in villain's range, not to mention bluffs. If the river comes a 2-7 does that change your mind?

do you have any postflop reads? seems like a fold since he wont need to bluff with much of his range.

<~~~~ this nitty bot folds

The majority of his range on the flop is pair+SD (ie a king) and everything else would most likely check through with its showdown value. I need a special read more than a 30 hand sample to call

Small bet, Big bet seems to be strong a lot of the time. No post flop reads yet? Should have a good idea just how stupid this guy is after 30 hands which will make it easy to decide.

i think this is a pretty terrible call. k/9 > JJ.
i feel like if you thought u were ahead here enough you should have just got it in on the turn.