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3barrels
Villain is a 23/19/2.8 TAG. Seems pretty good from what I can see. Folds to cbets 56% of the time.
Sometimes I might c/f flop but I didn't this time. I bet turn because I thought he would fold a 9 or whatever and there was a load of draws in his range also. The I have to follow up the river because the draws missed and I thought he might sometimes fold a weak Q. Does that logic make sense.
$5/$10 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com
Stacks:
UTG ($480.67)
CO ($1157.00)
BTN ($1000.00)
Hero ($1624.00)
BB ($1393.46)
Pre-flop: ($15, 5 players) Hero is SB :as: :th:
3 folds, Hero raises to $40, BB calls $30
Flop: :9h: :5d: :qd: ($80, 2 players)
Hero bets $60, BB calls $60
Turn: :6c: ($200, 2 players)
Hero bets $145, BB calls $145
River: :4s: ($490, 2 players)
Hero bets $375,
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It kinda looks like most of his range is draws, so he might pay this off light, right? So if we're really just trying to get him to lay the garbage, knowing he's calling with floated pairs and weak Qs, can we get away with betting like 225 on the river?
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i would rather c/c than bet here...but i would just c/f
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the two bets up to the river suck
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So I take it the consensus is that it's ok but messy and not worth it and c/f the flop would be better?
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I don't like it. oop, draws missed, nonscare cards just betting and praying that he folds
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This is marginal to begin with and worse in a blind v blind.
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The turn is a pretty bad card to barrel. He's not folding his top pair, and all midpair/bottom pairs 9x/5x type hands and insider draws on flop now have pair + insider etc and likely aren't folding.
I don't mind flop bet, and shutting down really. Especially on this turn card.