AQ facing river donk lead - what do you have?

-villain is pretty tagg 20/16 over 2k hands
-he seems most active, 3betting and 4betting a lot preflop, but his AF isn't that high at only around 2, though he definitely seems more aggro than this AF warrants
- I haven't had that many postflop battles with him lately, but def some preflop spewing matches
-this hand is early on the session, no reads or flow to this session yet


$2/$5 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
Hero (UTG) ($599.00)
CO ($688.00)
BTN ($541.25)
SB ($473.00)
BB ($519.00)

Pre-flop: ($7, 5 players) Hero is UTG :qd: :as:
Hero raises to $17, CO calls $17, BTN calls $17, 1 fold, BB calls $12

Flop: :9h: :ah: :8c: ($70, 4 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $40, 2 folds, BB calls $40

Turn: :ks: ($150, 2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $95, BB calls $95

River: :6d: ($340, 2 players)
BB bets $289

Call and make a note that he's terrible no matter what he shows. A6s and 8h6h are the only hands that makes sense.

How come we're betting the turn here?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by sweetlemon69

How come we're betting the turn here?

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Preflop went 4-way, so I'd expect him to call with a pretty wide range of hands pre given the odds he's getting. He probably has quite a few Axs type hands here I'd imagine.

I don't really think the K changes much at all.

Also, the flop is sooo draw heavy that I'd expect most people to raise their strong hands a fair amount on this flop, esp since I showed strength by betting into the field.

long answer short: I think if we were ahead on the flop, then we're still ahead, and I rarely expect to get c/bombed on this turn. But I need to bet to price the draws.

Uhh, I want to fold the river. I really think opp expects us to call.

I muck it.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by a500lbgorilla

Uhh, I want to fold the river. I really think opp expects us to call.

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ding. i struggle with these spots but this is usually the correct answer. hes getting dece odds to call with T7s preflop, and its an ok chance to screwplay a set as well since c/r flop 4way on this board is gonna look mad strong.