100NL - K2s fold equity uncertainty

Villain in this hand is on 3 or 4 of my tables, and during the first 20 or so minutes we were both being quite aggro, pretty much only preflop though. He's three bet me a bunch, to which I've mostly folded except for 1 successful 4-bet, but also one unsuccessful 4-bet where he shoved and I folded. I've also been active in squeezing and 3-betting vs him. We haven't seen a flop heads up though, only multiway in which he has played straight forward. Over the last 20 or 30 minutes though he's calmed down a lot and is hardly 3-betting, and is playing a lot more straight forward. This seemed like a spot where he was going to show up with a weak range, and I wanted to hear what you guys thought would maximize fold equity. Also, what do you make of the minraise.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (Button) ($112.85)
SB ($142.95)
BB ($144.60)
UTG ($65.05)
MP ($48)
CO ($97.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
UTG calls $1, 2 folds, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, BB calls $3, 1 fold

Flop: ($9.50) 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7, BB raises to $14

hero :

a) 3bets to some amount

b) i - floats and bets if checked to on turn
ii - floats and raises turn if he bets
iii - floats multiple streets and bluffs river if checked to

c) attempt to rep flush if spade hits, otherwise rely on 5 hidden outs

d) just fold

also, do you think he can have AQ/KQ (maybe even QJ) here?

Edit: blind as a bat....read action wrong lol

wouldnt raise him with this hand imo. him "calming down" very likely equals tightening up his ranges. as played i'd fold. he's short stacked and will probably have no problem putting most of it in on the turn.

you can do lots of stuff here

i think most of his range here is bluffs and weak made hands so my preferred choice is to make a 3 bet to about 39$

next favourite choice is to call and lead the turn (if he's really good this won't work so well), except for any turn that improves your hand in which case I like CR turn

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Genitruc

you can do lots of stuff here

i think most of his range here is bluffs and weak made hands so my preferred choice is to make a 3 bet to about 39$

next favourite choice is to call and lead the turn (if he's really good this won't work so well), except for any turn that improves your hand in which case I like CR turn

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I think you misread, I'm on the BTN and villain is in the blinds.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by frosst

wouldnt raise him with this hand imo. him "calming down" very likely equals tightening up his ranges. as played i'd fold. he's short stacked and will probably have no problem putting most of it in on the turn.

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The UTG shorty folded, the described villain is in the BB.

oops

so considering that we're in position, I think it's very close between a) and b) (both being good options) but I prefer d) (folding) to c) since it's hard to rep the flush when we're normally gonna be 3-betting all of our flush draws besides the teeny weeny ones

Quote:

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Originally Posted by BigLRIP

Quote:

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Originally Posted by frosst

wouldnt raise him with this hand imo. him "calming down" very likely equals tightening up his ranges. as played i'd fold. he's short stacked and will probably have no problem putting most of it in on the turn.

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The UTG shorty folded, the described villain is in the BB.

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sorry bout that. i like what genutric said. if villian calls, then checks a non spade turn, i like betting vs checking behind.

Im calling and playing ma position. Betting a bricked turn when checked to (gotta shove a non spade river then, right?) and jamming any K/heart turn.