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100nl AQ TPTK
Villain seems a little aggro but not crazy although im not sure, only been her a few orbits.
Is this line good or dumb? I assume he occasionally raises flop with KQ, flush draws/combo draws.
Turn is ok as only 57 got there.
Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter
BTN: $119.60
SB: $104.35
BB: $237.45
UTG: $100
Hero (MP): $103.65
CO: $57.55
Pre-Flop: Q:diamond: A:club: dealt to Hero (MP)
UTG folds, Hero raises to $3.50, CO folds, BTN calls $3.50, SB folds, BB calls $2.50
Flop: ($11) 6:spade: Q:club: 4:spade: (3 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $7.75, BTN raises to $20, BB folds, Hero calls $12.25
Turn: ($51) 3:club: (2 Players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $24.50, Hero raises to $80.15 and is All-In
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Maybe I'm used to people like 4xing their draw raises, but that kinda looks like a value raise. I think AQ/KQ are the only credible hands in your range and your hand is face up on the turn. Maybe like a KsQs/QsJs/Qs10s will look you up and if you flat the turn I think it has to go in on the river. With ~50BB in the pot it's definately worthy of taking it down now and shoving out draws, so I dont think it's that bad. But I dont expect to be ahead 100% of the time.
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I like it, sets are the only hand we don't want to see here and given your read he is more likely to be drawing.
Something troubling me: If we put him on a draw, would we rather b/3b the flop or lead big on the turn to force him into a mistake rather than allowing him to catch a card for free on a whiff CR or to commit himself with a good bet and a big draw.
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reads on BB?
I don't really see a problem with folding to the flop raise unless he's been completely wacko.
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If I fold flop that means I think he has 44 or 66 a lot and I don't think his flop raising range is that small.
Don't remember on BB
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I 3bet flop pretty often, especially since we are well ahead of any nut FD he might have.
As played, he raised the flop with another person still to act which shows some strength. He might check back FD's on turn to take a free card sometimes, so betting also shows some strength. 57 OESD on flop also got there. His sizing is also worrisome. I'm not sure how often we're good here anymore.
I'd need reads that he was aggro to feel good about a turn shove here. If I had these reads, then I'd just get it in on the flop anyhow.
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If you feel his flop raising range is wider than sets such as bluffs and draws I way prefer 3-betting the flop rather than seeing a turn.