1/2 QQ facing donk bet and interesting board

opp is reg: 22/17/3.6 and 3bet 10%

donk bet I prefer calling, I think if I raise and face a 3bet I'm generally not much better than a flip.

turn doesnt seem too scary, and if he's on draws or a lot of J hands I think it's worth betting here.

river line is super confusing. one issue is his river aggression is VERY low (1.2 and 16% frequency on 1.4k hands)

how often do you think this is a flush and how often do you think it's something like AJ?


$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
5 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG Henneth ($207.25)
CO Hero ($233.00)
BTN Belagiomio ($146.25)
SB foufou42 ($84.55)
BB HoTsTePPa ($368.15)

Pre-flop: ($3, 5 players) Hero is CO :qh: :qd:
1 fold, Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, HoTsTePPa calls $4

Flop: :8d: :6c: :jc: ($13, 2 players)
HoTsTePPa bets $13, Hero calls $13

Turn: :kh: ($39, 2 players)
HoTsTePPa checks, Hero bets $24, HoTsTePPa calls $24

River: :kc: ($87, 2 players)
HoTsTePPa bets $55

Final Pot: $142

I'm torn between what I'd do and whats best to do. Tbh I think I'd usually call this, but I'm fairly sure its actually a fold. His line doesn't make a lot of sence but the flush is the most likely holding.

flop call is good

i don't like your turn bet. your hand doesn't have two streets of value unless opp PSB donks the flop frequently, and you could get check/raised off your hand. if you think your hand does have two streets of value, i'd bet 32-34 instead.

if he had AJ and pot controlled it on the turn, the river seems like another good card from him to pot control on. i'd fold given his low river aggression.

what's your argument for why turn check is better than bet?

I think turn is a very good bet actually because it's a card you can rep as a bluff
but if you continue with Jx and QQ on a king board, you're protecting your bluffs twice more because now you are repping a wider value range on overcards and people can't hero call you when you barrel them as much
if you check turn and he bets the river you'd feel the need to call anyway if it was a blank because your line seems really weak

river is a fold, if he had a hand like AJ he'd check it and you'd check it back and everyone would be happy
if he has something like 75 that's a hell of a bluff, most people don't think about donking the river as a bluff even when it hits their range

i would fold river and your line is otherwise good.

and turn is a disgustingly easy bet, as would be almost any river checked to.