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TT 50NL river bluff
SB is 21/10 and has already 3bet twice in 20 hands. seems aggressive. I won a large pot off the biggest fish a few hands ago. i've been aggressive.
easier question is should i have raised this turn bet? reviewing this hand i think the answer is raise to 19/fold to push.
the reason at the time that i shoved this river was that i thought SB could be betting a rivered pair of Queens and i thought a shove would get him to fold those hands. does his betsizing on the turn discount 33/44/8x?
is my range (x%)33/44/QQ/ bluff?
PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($61.10)
BB ($69.50)
Hero (UTG) ($82.10)
MP ($32.55)
Button ($73.25)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
Hero bets $2, MP calls $2, 1 fold, SB calls $1.75, 1 fold
Flop: ($6.50) 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, 1 fold, SB raises to $11.50, Hero calls $6.50
Turn: ($29.50) 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
SB bets $5.50, Hero calls $5.50
River: ($40.50) Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
SB bets $20.50, Hero raises to $63.10 (All-In)
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I think river is bad if we are bluffing because it's like 5:1 for him to call and I don't think a Q is folding. I do think we have the best hand enough to warrant a river call though. Turn is interesting, I want to raise here too but can he ever push a FD? I guess turn is probably a R/F but river seems like a call
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turn is kinda bleh, i mean to raise and fold seems silly, so i think we have to call
river shove isnt good. i mean you're saying he has some hand that beats you but will fold to a shove? what would that be exactly? JJ? QJ? KQ? AQ? if you think he's bluffing just call since you're getting good odds. the stuff you're folding out by shoving is stuff you beat anyway, and with trips/set/boat/Q i think he's gonna call you all day.
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river is a fold, turn is also more than likely a fold but we are getting a good price if we think he will check alot of rivers.
my sense says he has a FH and is letting you draw real cheap.
lol also flop is probably a fold but id call and reevaluate turn