Quote:
Originally Posted by Extremophile
1) lets say he is not holding an A. How much do you think you can win?
2) Lets say he is holding an A, how much do you lose in this case assuming he is not holding an A?
That's pretty results oriented thinking. Do you fold AA on a 972 board because we'll lose our stack if he has 99? He has way to many hands other than Ax and AA in his range to make b/fing a good play.
Actually, I'm not sure i bet the flop at all since this is a classic WA/WB. So making him take initiative and value betting the part of his range that we're ahead of seems best. (i.e. 9's-Q's) Plus, he'll bluff with hands that c/f the flop. BOOM! Now we don't have to worry about getting raised/bluffraised on the flop AND he's putting money in the pot with second best hands. Yeah, he'll have AQ here sometimes and stack us for 200BB's and we'll cry like bitches for being a calling station. But if you make him take lines that keep his range as wide as possible there's nothing much more you can do.