AA against station -- Wakes up on river

Opener is an unkown and i flatted because of stack size to get the main villain in the pot. Villain is a megafish and is running at 47/5. Fold to cbet of 10% over a pretty big sample. I've seen him call down with the weirdest crap

Because he's so passive, is river a fold getting 3.5:1? It really feels like a fold but in the middle of the sesh I made the questionable call

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

CO ($24.15)
Button ($55.70)
SB ($20.25)
BB ($47.75)
UTG ($5.25)
UTG+1 ($39.15)
Hero (MP1) ($50)
MP2 ($43.85)
MP3 ($10)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif
UTG bets $1.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.50, MP2 calls $1.50, 5 folds

Flop: ($5.25) Khttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 3http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (3 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3, MP2 calls $3, 1 fold

Turn: ($11.25) Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $7, MP2 calls $7

River: ($25.25) 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $16, MP2 raises to $32, Hero calls $16

Total pot: $89.25 | Rake: $3

Seems like a clear bet/bet/shove to me and as played I doubt you're ever ahead here given your description.

In my experience a min raise by a normally passive player means they are super strong in most cases.

I would re-raise preflop instead of flatting.

But as played I would have probably played it the same and called. I think he probably has at minimum 2 pair, and maybe even backed into a str8.

Probably wrong, tough to get away from this.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Ztech

In my experience a min raise by a normally passive player means they are super strong in most cases.

I would re-raise preflop instead of flatting.

But as played I would have probably played it the same and called. I think he probably has at minimum 2 pair, and maybe even backed into a str8.

Probably wrong, tough to get away from this.

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i was thinking of 3betting small, but i havent seen villain cold call a 3bet so i took the surefire route to make sure he got in the pot

just unlucky that he backed into two pair

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Illfavor

Seems like a clear bet/bet/shove to me and as played I doubt you're ever ahead here given your description.

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ya against this type of villian on this board i'm working out my 3 bets so that river is a shove. something like pot/11/shove

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Azazel

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Illfavor

Seems like a clear bet/bet/shove to me and as played I doubt you're ever ahead here given your description.

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ya against this type of villian on this board i'm working out my 3 bets so that river is a shove. something like pot/11/shove

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potting the dryest flop in the world is probably a bit too much even against this guy dont you thinK?

4/10/shove. You said he's a station and will call down with anything and now you're afraid to bet larger due to board texture?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Illfavor

4/10/shove. You said he's a station and will call down with anything and now you're afraid to bet larger due to board texture?

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yea, probably shouldve bet bigger.

comments on the river though? that was the reason i made this thread on the first place

Quote:

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Originally Posted by AFchung

comments on the river though? that was the reason i made this thread on the first place

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losing mindset.
Consider all advice given.
Consensus is that you played 3 streets fairly poorly even before the river arrived. Think about that and learn, otherwise it smells like you're just posting a poor me bad-beat

I think the river is probably a fold as played although it's ridiculously tough to fold in game because aces are pretty, the pot is big and he's a fish..

but 4/10/shove is faarrrr better than the line you took