2/4 - JJ river spot

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10-05-2009, 07:32 PM
griffey24

2/4 - JJ river spot

-villain in this hand is fast eddie, reg on stars
-he's one of the more stationy regs, calling most all 3bets (folds around 50%) and then being a quasi station post
-we've gotten it in twice today. first he 3bet and I called IP with 79hh, he cbet on Kd7d3h board I called, 5c blank turn he bet pretty big leaving a lame size behind so I jammed and he called/lost with AJdd
-soon after I flat AQhh to his MP raise in blinds and donk lead QcJh4h flop and he raises, and I 3bet get it in vs his AA
-preflop was full on mistake, this should be squeeze 100% given minraise from donk EP but I flatted by accident

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($281.90)
UTG+1 ($400)
CO ($400)
BTN ($770.80)
SB ($585.50)
Hero (BB) ($558)

Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) Hero is BB :jd: :js:
UTG raises to $8, 2 folds, BTN calls $8, 1 fold, Hero calls $4

Flop: :8d: :5s: :2d: ($26, 3 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks, BTN bets $20, Hero raises to $60, UTG folds, BTN calls $40

Turn: :5c: ($146, 2 players)
Hero bets $125, BTN calls $125

River: :as: ($396, 2 players)
Hero with 365 behind??
10-05-2009, 08:29 PM
noble007

Check fold.

He'll check behind worse (99/TT), VB better (Sets/Trips/A8) and he has almost 0 draws left in his range at this point.

Shoving is close probably -ev in my mind the few 99/TT that's left may fold and you might only get called by better.
10-05-2009, 11:20 PM
nutsinho

i realize that villain is somewhat stationy, but i think that 5/6 potting turn to set up a river 9/10 pot jam is not slight overplay on a 5 turn in a minraised multiway pot. now it seems your best option is checkfold; he shouldnt have called turn w/ many draws that bricked, and he likely does not have enough ambition or incentive to turn 8x-TT into a bluff when checked to.
10-06-2009, 12:48 AM
Renton

i wonder if you can bet like 30 dollars since his range is massively weighted toward TT/99
10-06-2009, 01:32 AM
Numbr2intheWorld

How about checking the turn? lots of draws he'll most definitely bet here.
10-06-2009, 08:12 AM
griffey24

Quote:

Originally Posted by Massimo

How about checking the turn? lots of draws he'll most definitely bet here.

Won't people check behind draws here, since they think I could be trapping with a boat? Or will they bet, since they don't mind b/f now that they aren't drawing to a nuttish hand?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Renton

i wonder if you can bet like 30 dollars since his range is massively weighted toward TT/99

Yah I was thinking something like this too, but we can probably manage a little bigger like 110ish or something.