100NL, nuts flush draw facing heat in stealing positions

hand 1: villain is booger369, a regular running 14/10/3 ( ATS% is 33% something) i knew he didnt hit sets after he flat my 3 bet on this wet flop. So i guess my turn PSB shove would rep incredible strength, right? I definitely take this line with TOP two or sets vs most FR nits. How do you guys think about my fold equity in this situation?
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Button ($118.65)
Hero (SB) ($104)
BB ($127.75)
UTG ($73.85)
UTG+1 ($112.10)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($118.10)
CO ($100)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif
5 folds, Button bets $2, Hero calls $1.50, BB calls $1

Flop: ($6) 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (3 players)
Hero bets $4, 1 fold, Button raises $12, Hero raises $32, Button calls $20

Turn: ($70) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif (2 players)
Hero bets $70 (All-In)

hand 2: another regular running 12/10/3 something( ATS% is 32%).His cbet% is 68%. Most of these players probably have higher steal% in SB vs BB. I'm not sure whether i should call this shove after my flop raise. Maybe we can float and take down the pot on the turn? Is my flop raise pretty bad?I doubt i have 40%+ equity vs his AQ, 44-55, QQ+ unless he shoves with worse flush draw. My problem is I rarely give ppl too much credit for a big hand in SB vs BB war.
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (BB) ($104.70)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($50)
MP1 ($167.30)
MP2 ($100)
CO ($100)
Button ($163.15)
SB ($114)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif
6 folds, SB bets $2.50, Hero calls $2

Flop: ($6) Qhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...es/diamond.gif, 4http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
SB bets $5, Hero raises $15, SB raises $106 (All-In), Hero ?

Hand 1:
My best guess is he has... KQ, KJ, J9, 8c9c, AQo, KcTc, Tc9c, Tc8c,
And.. QT, 55, but you say he rereraises the flop w/ them. How sure of you are this?

You are beating most of that range to begin with, and have 25% equity agains KQ, 20% against AQ.

If you really think he repops you with 2 pair and sets I say just keep betting because you are way ahead of his range anyways.

Board: Qc Td 5c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 66.938% 66.58% 00.36% 24389 130.50 { AcJc }
Hand 1: 33.062% 32.71% 00.36% 11980 130.50 { KcTc, Tc9c, Tc8c, 9c8c, AQo, KJo+, J9o }

I like hand 1 as played, seems ok. 7d is likely a blank and if he wasnt willing to play for stacks on flop will likely fold turn. If he calls you have enough outs to race.

Hand 2 FOLD, looks like he's got you. I dont think you have equity to call as above.

i don't understand leading the flop in 1.
2 is pretty obviously a fold?
also i want to hear your reason for raising.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by reDZill4

i don't understand leading the flop in 1.
2 is pretty obviously a fold?
also i want to hear your reason for raising.

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hand 1:Our relative position is poor.So I'd rather lead out into a weak BT range with my monster drawing hands especially in a 3 way pot here.
hand 2:i think my flop raise has great fold equity vs lots of weak showdown value hands(AK,AJ,medium pairs) in his sb open range.

hand 1 I like leading but I don't 3-bet the flop without fold equity.
hand 2 flop raise is fine, but $80 into $208 pretty easy fold?