You're bluffing, I have the nuts....how to get your money

Villain 19/16/inf over 70 hands. He had a 3bet of 16% over this sample and it was obvious he was 3betting light. Nothing out of the ordinairy postflop though.

I don't have history enough with villain to shove flop. Gin turn, so now I need to maximize against his with bluffs overloaded range.

- Can I c/c turn c/shove river or am I missing too much value / he isn't bluffing enough?
- C/minraise turn? I can't see myself doing that as a bluff really.
- C/raise to 18?
- Just c/shove as that at least reps something like the the turned FD maybe?

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (6 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($45.40)
UTG ($54.35)
Hero (MP) ($54.80)
CO ($52.40)
Button ($50)
SB ($50.25)

Preflop: Hero is MP with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif
1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, CO calls $1.50, 2 folds, BB calls $1

Flop: ($4.75) 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif, 2http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif, 9http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3, CO raises to $7.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $4.50

Turn: ($19.75) Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $12.50, hero?

If you think there's a high likelihood he's bluffing I don't see why you'd do anything other than c/c, c/shove river.

Most of his b/c range on this turn are 9x or boats which will all bet the river anyhow. He might have turned some backdoor draw, and we want him to get there.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by griffey24

If you think there's a high likelihood he's bluffing I don't see why you'd do anything other than c/c, c/shove river.

Most of his b/c range on this turn are 9x or boats which will all bet the river anyhow. He might have turned some backdoor draw, and we want him to get there.

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Yep

Quote:

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Originally Posted by griffey24

Most of his b/c range on this turn are 9x or boats which will all bet the river anyhow. He might have turned some backdoor draw, and we want him to get there.

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Is it drawy enough that CiB will get more value than calling and extracting the incredibly rare river bluffs? I think that would be my play.

I c/c turn, and plan to c/r river pretty much always in these spots. Even though villains always seem to give up their bluffs on the river I cant think of a better plan.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by bjsaust

I c/c turn, and plan to c/r river pretty much always in these spots. Even though villains always seem to give up their bluffs on the river I cant think of a better plan.

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Yeah this is basically what I'm worried about. If villain is probably not bluffing river much, shouldn't I c/r small to get some value from turned draws.