River value bet here? (board isnt pretty)
Villain is 11/8/2.7 agg over about 400 hands
My image in this session is 16/14 - i have 3bet a lot of MP openers vs the UTG limping fish so i have an aggro image.
On the flop i think my hand range is 40% flush/30% set/30% combo of tp good FD.
Im expecting a set to get it in on the flop, 2 pair to call it down and a small flush to call it down too. Once i dont get c/r all in on the turn i believe their is a thin value bet against his range - AxKs makes a crying call possibly.
I also hate a turn shove as it allows him to make as few mistakes as possible - i think a set can fold to my flop raise turn shove. Right/ wrong?
No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (9 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
CO ($110.90)
Hero (Button) ($107.55)
SB ($94.10)
BB ($103)
UTG ($32.90)
UTG+1 ($126.20)
MP1 ($100)
MP2 ($114.80)
MP3 ($100)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif
UTG calls $1, 3 folds, MP3 bets $4, 1 fold, Hero calls $4, 2 folds, UTG calls $3
Flop: ($13.50) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/spade.gif (3 players)
UTG checks, MP3 bets $7, Hero raises $20, 1 fold, MP3 calls $13
Turn: ($53.50) 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...miles/club.gif (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets $26, MP3 calls $26
River: ($105.50) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/phpBB2/...iles/heart.gif (2 players)
MP3 checks, Hero bets $23???
Total pot: $205.50
