Weird combo draw on monotone flop vs reg.
Villain is a 50NL reg I've played a good bit with. He's 22/17 over 613 hands and seems fairly solid for the limit. I've seen him c/r bluff flops before, but I actually don't expect him to be light here. I'd just won a medium sized pot from him on another table and expected him to expect me to think he was more likely to be FOS here. He will have seen me give up on drawy shitty boards as pfr and should probably know I don't just c bet here with my entire range or anything.
I don't want to raise here because I feel like I'm only getting it in vs the nfd, flushes and set to which I'm in dreadful shape.
I don't want to call because I feel like there's reverse implied odds ahoy given my read he has something here a good amount.
So I really want to fold. But this seems gross. I'm thinknig in this spot though that my hand probably really isn't as good as it looks.
Thoughts?
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
Hero (MP) ($73.10)
Button ($72.50)
SB ($28.25)
BB ($50)
UTG ($55.80)
Preflop: Hero is MP with J:heart:, Q:spade:
1 fold, Hero bets $1.50, Button calls $1.50, 2 folds
Flop: ($3.75) 4:spade:, 10:spade:, 9:spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $2.55, Button raises $8, Hero?
