Opp is 42/0/0.6 over only 13 hands. Folded twice to a raise before and I have seen him limp with Q5o.
His calling range pre I'd say 22-JJ, A7s+,A9o+, K9+,Q9+,J9+,T9s,T8s,98s,97s,87s,86s,76s
I think my flop bet is OK, could have potted it given the drawy board and to get more value from his queens?
His flop calling range (all his made hands and his draws, not counting most gutshots): 99-JJ,AsKs,AQs,AsJs,ATs,As9s,As8s,As7s,KTs+,Q9s+,J9s+ ,T8s+,9s8s,9s7s,8s7s,8s6s,7s6s,AQo,ATo,KTo+,Q9o+,J 9o+
The Qc on the turn is a good card for his range. I stoved this and I get only 44% in my favor. Getting better if I add more gutshots or PP or Asxs to his range.
I chose to bet the turn (is this correct? comments about sizing?), and would have seriously considered folding if raised (correct?).
Regardless, he calls (same range as above minus 99 and JJ) and comes the blank on the river. Now I think it was a serious mistake to bet this river, because I don't get any value from his busted draws and I am crushed by the rest of his range, none of which he is folding. Comments?
If I don't bet the river and he shoves, then he would have to be bluffing with a busted draw >23% of the time to make a call profitable. Call?
Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.05 BB (8 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop
MP1 ($4.64)
MP2 ($2.67)
CO ($5)
Button ($6.35)
SB ($4.95)
BB ($4.26)
Hero (UTG) ($5.22)
UTG+1 ($5.33)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A:club:, A:diamond:
Hero bets $0.20, 2 folds, MP2 calls $0.20, 4 folds
Flop: ($0.47) Q:spade:, 10:spade:, 10:club: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.35, MP2 calls $0.35
Turn: ($1.17) Q:club: (2 players)
Hero bets $0.85, MP2 calls $0.85
River: ($2.87) 5:heart: (2 players)
Hero bets $1.30

