NL200 River chraised

Opp reg fullring 18/13 (~24/18 for 6max), 3B 4.7%, ccall 11%, fold vs flop cbet 46%, chraise flop 12%, WWSF 46%
Will he chraise something worse for value here, like 2 pairs? will he turn a mid pair into a bluff here often enough? Not much particular history against him

No-Limit Hold'em, $2.00 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP1 ($200)
MP2 ($408.45)
Hero (CO) ($206.40)
Button ($114.05)
SB ($224.10)
BB ($200)
UTG ($251)
UTG+1 ($172.25)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A:diamond:, A:club:
4 folds, Hero bets $6, 2 folds, BB calls $4

Flop: ($13) 6:heart:, 6:spade:, J:club: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $8, BB calls $8

Turn: ($29) 2:heart: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $18, BB calls $18

River: ($65) Q:diamond: (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $42, BB raises $168 (All-In)

Before mashing the call button I would chat box the following: time to see what dumb hand u peeled the turn with

Looks like a super standard river b/f.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Micro2Macro

Before mashing the call button I would chat box the following: time to see what dumb hand u peeled the turn with

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JJ imo

lol not likely

also this: How To: Analyze Calling An All-in

also op you left out some pretty important info here.

m2m don't you think he would take this line with 6x?

Villain is a nit, with a low 3bet %. This makes it way more likely than most other ppl that he has either JJ or QQ here. It probably also means he has less 6x than others, but I doubt such a nit is bluffing here.

Seems more likely that he plays KK weirdly like this, than him actually bluffing.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by griffey24

Seems more likely that he plays KK weirdly like this, than him actually bluffing.

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Holy... KK, like this?

Anytime someone has only a few nut hands in his range, I never think its an easy fold. I'd still fold here though.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by pocketfours

Holy... KK, like this?

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I'm just comparing it to the likelihood if a nit bluffing here. I think they are both just as likely, and both equally unlikely.

{moved from shnl}

I wouldn't assume that a competent looking opponent will bluff when he's repping almost nothing unless I have a note that sais otherwise.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by pocketfours

Looks like a super standard river b/f.

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this

Quote:

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Originally Posted by griffey24

Villain is a nit, with a low 3bet %. This makes it way more likely than most other ppl that he has either JJ or QQ here. It probably also means he has less 6x than others, but I doubt such a nit is bluffing here.

Seems more likely that he plays KK weirdly like this, than him actually bluffing.

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highcoldcall and 5% 3b makes him a nit @ FR? :S

these stats are NOT nitty for fullring at all
in fact its semilaggy

really depends who this guy is

if its someone like xxbrtbrdrxx u should be snap calling

if its someone like xxnatfinstxx u should prolly be snap folding..

If you want to collude, at least have the decency to do it openly and un-edit the names.

collusion?

lol, everyones mentioned someone elses name in a hh away from the table before. also oskar you seem to be lost, microstakes forum aka beginners circle is one tab above here.

then why the deal with the xx and mentioning that you will delete the names once he responds, which you have edited out... why have you done that now?

I have no problem with mentioning names, but don't be all secretive about it.

its not like its a big secret if they lurk the forums.