50NL K9s vs flop C/R

Here's a fun hand...

Villain is 23/14 over ~400 hands. I stacked him a few orbits earlier with a set vs his JJ on a K-high board. He's been fairly aggressive, opening a lot from various positions and taking down a ton of small pots. He has a high fold to 3bet% (86%) so his calling range OOP I imagine is narrow { pairs + AK }. I have a hard time folding here, since A) I think I've got the best hand and B) I'm sort of excluding <AK/KK from his range since we have blockers, hence the 3bet pre.

Insta-fold or snap-call?

$0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem - 9 Players

Stacks:
UTG ($141.60)
UTG+1 ($35.14)
MP1 ($43.28)
MP2 ($66.36)
MP3 ($31.60)
Hero ($104.33)
BTN ($45.95)
SB ($50.25)
BB ($42.75)

Pre-Flop: ($0.75, 9 players) Hero is CO :kc: :9c:
3 folds, MP2 raises to $1.50, MP3 folds , Hero raises to $4.50, 4 folds, MP2 calls $3.00

Flop: :kh: :7c: :8d: ($9.75, 2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $6.50, MP2 raises to $15.00, Hero?

thats a fairly ridiculous preflop calling range you assigned him after you say he has been aggro and just stacked off with JJ on K high board.

also, you don't have to snap-do anything. it can be a timing tell that you didn't consider raising.

as played, calling with position is the only thing that makes sense.

I'm folding because you have no reads that indicate he would bluff oop in a 3bet pot on a dry board.

I wouldn't fold. We've got position and monster back door equity.

I think your flop bet is way too big and I'd call now.

I wouldn't fold.
His calling range is probably a bit wider than what you listed, getting stacked JJ on a K board shows that, or he's just a moron :rolleyes: I don't think your flop bet was to big either, 2/3 pot sounds about right for TP with a couple of backdoors...with position I'd call to see the turn and re-evaluate then.