JJ Bluff line check on wet board

So moved back to 10 NL and after 20k with a decent winrate i have hit probably 10k of spew combined with running bad.

Villain is 17/17 over 30. They are aggressive with top pair. Only hands i have them show down are TT, 99 and AKo.

My feeling here is that i'm up against an over-pair. Villain has no 9 in his range. Im repping the straight/set. With sets im thinking a set is more likely to raise the turn here.

Ok line or spew?

Range 22+,ATs+,KJs+,QJs,AJo+,KQo

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (MP2) ($10)
MP3 ($11.54)
CO ($3.45)
Button ($5)
SB ($11.52)
BB ($14.82)
UTG ($13.17)
UTG+1 ($11.04)
MP1 ($4.86)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif
1 fold, UTG+1 bets $0.30, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.30, 1 fold, CO calls $0.30, 2 folds, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($1.25) 8http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif, 5http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (4 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 bets $0.80, Hero calls $0.80, 2 folds

Turn: ($2.85) 10http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.40, Hero calls $1.40

River: ($5.65) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/spade.gif (2 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $7.50 (All-In)

Total pot: $20.65 | Rake: $1.37

You are repping 99 that's it don't post results

the board's so scary, there's really nothing he can call the river shove with. to get value from tp, you'd have to bet really small, and that's a b/f ofc.

in general, if you're going all the way with a good one pair hand, you should play it fast and bet near pot on the flop and turn. if you bet $1 otf, pot's 3.25 ott. bet 3 ott, pot's 9.25 otr with 5.70 behind. then ckbk or shove for half pot, probably ckbk here.

spew. Turning overpairs into overbet shove bluffs when checked to normally is.
as for villain having no 9s in his range, i respectfully disagree.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by daven

spew. Turning overpairs into overbet shove bluffs when checked to normally is.
as for villain having no 9s in his range, i respectfully disagree.

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Yeah thought so. Yup made a mistake with the 9 not in his range.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by !Luck

You are repping 99 that's it don't post results

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So whats the result? I deleted the result but forgot to delete the pot so you can infer villain called. Go go mod.

Edit: 98s 9Ts are easily in my range.

please check back this river.
you still have fair showdown value and worse isnt calling a vbet.
no need to turn JJ into a bluff here.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by thelorax

please check back this river.
you still have fair showdown value and worse isnt calling a vbet.
no need to turn JJ into a bluff here.

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yeah :) was rash knee jerk. 10k spew/running bad is precipitating more spew , lol