question about river bet sizing
Villain is a passive 17/15 1.4 agg 100% cbet (10 times) - over a couple hundred hands. The first or 2nd hand I saw him play he c/r'd the river with the nuts, but that's the only check raise he's done.
He'd see me as 21/15 4.0 agg; got popped set over set about 15 hands ago, so he might have noticed that I set mine. played 3 of the last 5 hands.
I've got him on a pretty wide range PF, and flop, but when he c/c the turn I'm thinking AJ+ and :c:broadways.
When the board pairs the river, his possible 2pr just turned into the nuts with 6 combos that beat me. I'm wondering what the best bet size would be to get value from trips but not value town myself against his nut holdings. In a situation like this I normally default to about 1/2 pot, but I'd like to hear everyone's thoughts.
No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) - Hold'em Manager Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
saw flop | saw showdown
MP2 ($35.96)
CO ($54.50)
Hero (Button) ($53.09)
SB ($28.47)
BB ($80.91)
UTG ($77.26)
UTG+1 ($51.82)
MP1 ($54.77)
Preflop: Hero is Button with 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif, 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif
3 folds, MP2 bets $1.75, 1 fold, Hero calls $1.75, SB calls $1.50, 1 fold
Flop: ($5.75) 7http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif, Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif, Jhttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...es/diamond.gif (3 players)
SB checks, MP2 bets $3.83, Hero calls $3.83, 1 fold
Turn: ($13.41) 6http://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...ilies/club.gif (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $10.05, MP2 calls $10.05
River: ($33.51) Ahttp://www.flopturnriver.com/pokerfo...lies/heart.gif (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero ????
