50nl 6m aces up on turn

BU caller is complete unknown (but doesn't auto-top up and so is likely not a solid reg), SB is 38/20 over 65. he hasn't 3bet in this sample and has folded to 3/3 CB's. BB caller is 20/0 over 5.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50 BB (5 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com
MP ($107.50)
Button ($41.60)
SB ($53.60)
BB ($50)
Hero (UTG) ($82.95)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with A:diamond:, Q:spade:
Hero bets $1.50, 1 fold, Button calls $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB calls $1
Flop: ($6) 4:club:, Q:heart:, 10:club: (4 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $5, 1 fold, SB calls $5, BB calls $5
Turn: ($21) A:spade: (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $14, SB raises to $47.10 (All-In), 1 fold, Hero ?

You look pretty pleased with your hand here so he shouldn't be bluffing and I don't see anything he's playing for value that you beat.

fish+|drawy board+massive pot+top two = call.

stuff he's playing for value that you beat would be AT, QT, A4.

Let's try PokerStove...

Board: As Qh Tc 4c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 43.084% 37.66% 05.42% 580 83.50 { AdQs }
Hand 1: 56.916% 51.49% 05.42% 793 83.50 { TT, AQs, ATs, A4s, KJs, AQo, ATo, A4o, KJo }

I left out a some hands (QT, AcXc) just to show how easy of a call this is.

We need to be good 29.5% of the time. We could discount TT, add AXcc and QT, and we are actually favoured to win.

pretty easy call considering he can be value shipping worse and semi bluffing

^^^ what they said.

it looks like villain has to shove ATs/ATo for us to call.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Galapogos

You look pretty pleased with your hand here so he shouldn't be bluffing and I don't see anything he's playing for value that you beat.

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My bad, read his stats as reggish (wtf?) but yeah, call vs this guy.

Call it off.

blows my mind how underused pokerstove is

thought it was a pretty standard call but i just wanted to double-check. he had it obv.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Alexos

blows my mind how underused pokerstove is

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blows my mind how underused weighting hands in pokerstove is

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Lukie

blows my mind how underused weighting hands in pokerstove is

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+1

Shame that HoldemRanger didn't become mainstream. So much easier to put in {QQ+, AK(50)} to remove half the AK combos than to do it manually. Not so much preflop but when postflop when you have to avoid removing, say, AhKc on an Ah Ks Qc or whatever.

it is NOT standard to call it off here

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

it is NOT standard to call it off here

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Goooooooooooooooooooooooooood because I m not calling here either

You shouldn't put 100% weighting on anything but KJ. He's almost surely playing Kj this way but all other hands in that range have some probability that isn't negligible of being played differently.

lol I didnt post itt because I dont know whether I want to call or not and I still cant decide. I think we should know more about villain after having played 65 hands with him.

I'm not inclined to go against nutsinho but my guess would be close its a call would be my first guess and what I would do real time.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Lukie

blows my mind how underused weighting hands in pokerstove is

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true also, but to a lesser extent

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

it is NOT standard to call it off here

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We aren't in a standard spot, we are up against a 38/20 semi fish. There are likely enough combination of worse 2 pairs as well as retard factor to make this a call imo.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by nutsinho

it is NOT standard to call it off here

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This is KJ like....1000%...lol you have 4 outs. Fold and be happy he didn't flat and let you v-bet the brick on the river where when he jams then your in a actual tough spot.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by acg123

This is KJ like....1000%...lol you have 4 outs. Fold and be happy he didn't flat and let you v-bet the brick on the river where when he jams then your in a actual tough spot.

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i'm also very inclined to agree with nuts here. the only reason this is a call is because he's a probable tard. if this is a reg it's probably a fold barring other variables.also i disagree, your river spot would be easier because there is 0% you're good.