200bb deep 3bp 2nd nut flush

villain has tight stats for 6m something like 19/16 with a 67% overall fold to 3bet, 0/2 fold to 3b in co, 0/7 overall 4b

however i've been playing with him for the past few hours over the rush tables and i get a read that he may be a reg fish based off a way i saw him play something though i'm unable to recall what it was (this is why we take notes kids).

1/2 No Limit Holdem
FullTiltPoker
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com
Table Swiftly Tilting

Stacks:
UTG CrazyIvan24 (202) 101bb
UTG+1 PacMan448 (283) 142bb
CO pray4mojo222 (377) 189bb
BTN Hero (537) 268bb
SB Poentaplooi (391) 196bb
BB gopheresque (276) 138bb

Blinds: 1/2

Pre-Flop: (3, 6 players) Hero is BTN :8d: :qd:
2 folds, pray4mojo222 raises to 4 (373), Hero raises to 14 (522), 2 folds, pray4mojo222 calls 10 (363)

Flop: :7d: :ad: :td: (31, 2 players)
pray4mojo222 checks (363), Hero bets 21 (501), pray4mojo222 calls 21 (342)

Turn: :6c: (73, 2 players)
pray4mojo222 checks (342), Hero bets 60 (441), pray4mojo222 raises to 176 (166), 116 to Hero (441.95)?

Never folding ever...don't think if we call he will have enough to bluff the river, so just jam.

You block KQdd, the board blocks KTdd, so we're really only afraid of KJdd. He might even raise that sometimes on the flop, so somewhat discounted. He doesn't put you on a flush probably, he could have 89s here.

Rough, on the one hand he reps exactly KcJc, on the other hand it doesn't look like a great bluffing spot for him. Calling is committing, it looks like he wants to get it all in. On the read that he's a straight forward tight reg fish, I'd fold.

wtf is this?

Quote:

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Originally Posted by griffey24

Never folding ever...don't think if we call he will have enough to bluff the river, so just jam.

You block KQdd, the board blocks KTdd, so we're really only afraid of KJdd. He might even raise that sometimes on the flop, so somewhat discounted. He doesn't put you on a flush probably, he could have 89s here.

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I block 89dd here. K9dd is also a possibility.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by jackvance

Rough, on the one hand he reps exactly KcJc, on the other hand it doesn't look like a great bluffing spot for him. Calling is committing, it looks like he wants to get it all in. On the read that he's a straight forward tight reg fish, I'd fold.

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I didn't say that he was straightforward, I said that he is tight and probably a reg who has some issues with his game.

For the record, this is a 3b pot. He does NOT put you on a flush here. He puts you on AK/AQ, probably a fair number of AxKd, AxQd type stuff. His jamming range is definitely not and also should not just be nut flushes. He could have been c/c flop to look for a safe turn to get it in, and be jamming 777/TTT/AT as well.