25nl QQ turn decision

UTG is a laggy 25/18/5, opening over 20% from utg, fold to 3b 52% total (ie not just from EP).

Button is 15/9/4 nitty and not particularly aggro.

I'm figuring I get called by utg with a wide range of speculative crap and he is likely to be difficult post flop.


Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (8 handed) - Full Tilt Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com/

CO ($25)
Button ($35.65)
SB ($25.10)
Hero (BB) ($28.25)
UTG ($52.30)
UTG+1 ($74.03)
MP1 ($21.91)
MP2 ($18.09)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q:spade:, Q:diamond:
UTG raises to $0.85, 4 folds, Button calls $0.85, 1 fold, Hero raises to $3.25, UTG calls $2.40, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.45) 2:diamond:, 8:diamond:, 7:spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $5.50, UTG calls $5.50

Turn: ($18.45) 6:spade: (2 players)
Hero ???

How do you expect villain to play his premiums pre? What was yr flop plan (facing a raise) after you size like this, you say villain is difficult I assume that means yr not folding.

Time for a jam, with two FD's out he can put you on lots of draws.

He never has KK+, he never has sets, and this card makes it so that 99/TT/98s has a tough decision. He'll have made straights every so often, and there are some combos of two pair, but we have decent equity against two pair anyway.

Problem is that flop made sizes a little awkward, and shoving is probably overkill. Any bet $5.03 or higher gives TT-99/98s the wrong odds to continue, so I'd bet anything between that and an amount that makes it look like there's enough left behind for him to have FE.

So next time either bet flop $6.25+ (so that you can shove turn comfortably when you decide to bet) or just 1/2 pot 3 streets.

As played, b/c $6.50.

I'd shove the turn v this guy w/ these reads.

will he bet draws and weaker made hands when checked to? i.e. will he put you on like AQo or something?
will he call TT if you shove?

I'd expect him to b/c strong draws and made hands and check back weaker draws. I'm figuring either c/r or just shove now as there are lots of rivers I will hate.