3bet pot facing shove otr after I donked large

[22:07] <TheLongGrind> i made a disgusting fold
[22:07] <TheLongGrind> opinions?
[22:08] <TheLongGrind> http://weaktight.com/6401199
[22:11] <TheLongGrind> we r als like 130 bb deep
[22:11] <TheLongGrind> pre
[22:13] <TheLongGrind> basically i assumed he backed intoa flush and wouldn't play a set that way after checking OTT. I was betting big purely for val hoping he'd bluffcatch. ( don't think he can raise a set for stacks otr or am i levelling myself?)

I'm worried about Axs that he used to 3b bluff with pre and now backed into the nuts , or a hand like KJ or a hand like 78s? makes sense after checking turn. At least to me :).

PokerStars - $0.25 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 149.6 BB (VPIP: 15.76, PFR: 9.24, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 185)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 10.39, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 80)
BB: 98.2 BB (VPIP: 8.33, PFR: 4.71, 3Bet Preflop: 2.78, Hands: 282)
UTG: 193.2 BB (VPIP: 15.33, PFR: 12.67, 3Bet Preflop: 3.39, Hands: 151)
UTG+1: 73.76 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
UTG+2: 79.2 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 12.82, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 79)
MP: 100 BB (VPIP: 11.76, PFR: 11.76, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 17)
Hero (MP+1): 133.64 BB
CO: 134.6 BB (VPIP: 13.33, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 5.88, Hands: 90)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q:spade: Q:heart:

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.8 BB, CO raises to 8 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 5.2 BB

Flop: (17.4 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond: 4:spade: 9:heart:
Hero checks, CO bets 9 BB, Hero calls 9 BB

Turn: (35.4 BB, 2 players) 3:heart:
Hero checks, CO checks

River: (35.4 BB, 2 players) T:heart:
Hero bets 28 BB, CO raises to 117.6 BB and is all-in, :confused:

I'm probably never folding this. He'd double barrel his FD's on the turn at least 50% of the time I'd imagine. Someone with that 3b also doesn't show up with KJ too often imo.

You have enough Qx in your range that will be b/f river here, let alone b/f QQQ.

do you imagine he raises KK here?
if not then fold

for context, if he's typical of tag-regs of the stake then he's raising for value about 100% here and beats AQ about always.

Yah keep in mind, I don't play these stakes. An exploitable fold can be good here. You just won't find me making it :)

Very tough fold and I'm glad you made it. Now just fold top pair from time to time and you'll be on your way to getting your nit-ring specialist medallion.