AQ tp2k river play?

interested in thoughts on all streets.

villain is shaping up reggish, 14-10 russian.
preflop i'm marginal? flop i'm toying with raise given the backdoor
turn seems standard as played?
river do i shove do win instead of split? or does the J mean i'm valuetowning myself too much?

$0.10/$0.25 No Limit Holdem
9 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($22.65) 91bb
UTG+1 ($59.81) 239bb
MP1 ($18.89) 76bb
MP2 ($29.96) 120bb
daven (MP3) ($26.66) 107bb
CO ($28.26) 113bb
BTN ($24.65) 99bb
SB ($34.64) 139bb
BB ($25) 100bb

Pre-Flop: ($0.35, 9 players) daven is MP3 :qh: :as:
UTG raises to $0.75, 3 folds, daven calls $0.75, CO calls $0.75, 1 fold, SB calls $0.65, 1 fold

Flop: :ad: :ks: :2s: ($3.25, 4 players)
SB checks, UTG bets $2.30, daven calls $2.30, 1 fold, SB folds

Turn: :4d: ($7.85, 2 players)
UTG checks, daven bets $5.30, UTG calls $5.30

River: :jd: ($18.45, 2 players)
UTG checks, daven thinks to shove?

What range do you put him on on each street? I am checking this river.

I think shove is somewhat thin, especially with Jd peeling off.

I think there is still value though given spades brick. His hand feels like QQ/KQ or weak Ax to me. I would bet $9-10ish. If river wasn't Jd and was some non diamond brick, I might be tempted to shove.

Appalling river card. Checking it back and expecting to chop at best.

Not a lot wrong with how you played the hand but don't think I would shove on the River. I would be tempted to bet half pot or slightly more on the River and consider calling a shove from the villain.

I think if you shove, he only calls with better than you. I prefer check river, you have value in showdown

Cbet/check/check seems weak to me especially considering his taggy Stats. I would bet this against a worse villain but without more defined reads I'd b/f $5-7 or just check it down. With his position and Stats its hard to get a lot of value on this board with our hand with a river bet.

I typically check the river here as well.

If I was on your place, I will make a raise to $5, because I don't think that he has a better cards than yours, maybe he has Ace with some other small card like 7 or 8. However this is only my opinion, and if you think that he has a better cards than yours, then you can only go check and see what will happen.

Big raise over $4 is best to do, as you may have best hand.

Quote:

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Originally Posted by Gukeriporu

Big raise over $4 is best to do, as you may have best hand.

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Ok bro im not trying to be harsh. You should really start putting ranges in your replies man. It will only benefit you and also let the pros know your trying.

Real quick. 14/10 utg open maybe (7.5%) 99+.ATs+.AJo+.KQ+. It might not be perfect but its close.

So what changes aftet villain c/c Ott??

Pre is very possibly a fold. With 25nl rake I'd dump it.

I think the turn bet is pretty thin, especially for the size you chose. You should expect him to fold to your turn bet here a large majority of the time with worse made hands and he most likely bets again with his draws so there's not a large need for protection. I'd check back the turn or make a smaller bet.

On the river it looks like you're chopping a huge huge amount of the time, I'd be quite tempted to shove to fold him off a chop. As a bonus you may fold out AK/AcJc. Make no mistake though, it wouldn't be a value bet. I just think he's super likely to bet the turn with sets considering its a two broadway board with two flush draws. There are also no diamonds he can really have as its really uncommon to cbet into 3 players with KdQd and QdTd usually would bet turn.

So daven gotta ask. Did ya shove?